Monthly Newsletter

Melissa J. Stein
President 
CFP, CRPC
Financial Advisor 
 
Contact Us:

4150 Washington Road Suite 211
McMurray, PA 15317


Phone:
724-260-0491                         
E-mail:
melissa.stein@mutlifin.com

Website:
www.steinwealth.com

In This Issue
Client Alerts
Investment Words
Market Commentary
Featured Article
Client Alerts


Year-End Tax Reporting

 

Although PrimeVest is the custodian on IRAs, Pershing will     continue    to      handle

tax   reporting. 

 

The  2011  Form 1099Rs  were mailed  by Pershing  by     Jan. 31, 2012.   A statement message was included in the November 2011, December 2011, and January 2012  client statements.

 

April 17, 2012 is Tax Day    

The 2012 due date for personal income  tax  filings will  be  Tuesday,   April 17, the U.S. Internal Revenue Service has announced.  The traditional deadline for personal income taxes is April 15, but that falls on a Sunday this year. Monday, April 16, is Emancipation Day, a D.C. holiday, so Tax Day will be the following day, Tuesday,  April 17.        

 

Mortgage Rates

 

Mortgage rates continue to be at record lows.  To see the three month trend, go to bankrate.com  (See a link in the "Quick Links" section of this newsletter.) Should you consider  refinancing?   

 

 

 

Quick Links

 
IRS  

Investment Words

COLA
Cost of Living Adjustment

An annual adjustment in wages to offset a change (Usually  a  loss)  in purchasing  power  as measured  by  the  Consumer Price Index.  The  Consumer Price Index (CPI)  is  used rather   than  the  Producer Price Index (PPI)  because the purpose is  to  offset inflation  as  experienced   by the consumer, not  the producer.

 
CPI
Consumer Price Index

 

An inflationary indicator that measures the change in the cost of a fixed basket of products and services, including housing, electricity, food and transportation. The CPI is published monthly, also called cost-of-living index.



PPI
Producer Price Index 
 
The Producer Price Index (PPI) program  measures  the average change over  time in the selling prices received  by domestic producers  for  their output.

 



 






Greetings!

Happy February!

It is the month of Valentine's Day and President's Day and since it is Leap Year, the month has a whole extra day to do with as as you wish.  This extra day is added every four years to bring the solar year of 365 & 1/4  into line with the calendar year of 365 days. Enjoy the extra time! 

Please call me to discuss any questions or concerns you may have in the days ahead.    

Until next month....
 
Very Truly Yours,
Melissa  

Melissa's Signature 
June Flint
Stein Wealth Advisors, LLC

 

Market Commentary
   


The "Risk On" Trade Remains the Right
Call
                                    
February 13, 2012       
By: Bob Doll, Chief  Equity Strategist
  Fundamental Equities at BlackRock®, Mr. Doll is also Lead
Portfolio Manager of BlackRock's Large Cap Series Funds.

Market Rally Fades on Debt Concerns

Although markets got a boost early last week as some decent economic news and a pervading "risk on" sentiment pushed prices higher, momentum faded later in the week as renewed concerns about the European debt crisis emerged. For the week, stocks were down slightly, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average falling 0.5% to 12,801, the S&P 500  Index declining 0.2% to 1,342 and the Nasdaq Composite losing 0.1% to 2,903.

Economic Outlook Remains a "Muddle Through"


One of the main factors underlying improved economic conditions has been a continued trend of better-than-expected jobs market data. Unemployment claims have fallen steadily  since the fall, and monthly jobs growth and unemployment data have been surprisingly strong of late. The housing market remains weak, but that sector of the economy does  appear to be in a long-term bottoming process. While we are not expecting to see any significant near-term upside in housing, housing-related headwinds in gross domestic product do appear to be fading.

On balance, we retain our generally positive view toward the US economy, but we do not expect the recent almost-uninterrupted trend of positive data to continue. There is little  prospect for economic acceleration beyond what we have seen lately, which suggests that  economic risks are skewed to the downside compared to where we are today. Over the  course of the year, we expect the US economy to remain firmly in "muddle through" mode.

Regarding corporate earnings, we are now well past the halfway mark for the fourth quarter  reporting season. While results have been generally good, the degree of positive surprises is down from that of previous quarters. By the time reporting season draws to  a close, overall results should be somewhat ahead of expectations.

European Debt Woes Resurface

The week ended with a relatively sour note on the European debt crisis when the European Union (led by Germany) rejected the proposed austerity plan for Greece, stating that they believe it does not do enough to reduce Greek debt levels and leaves deficits too high. As such, it appears that Greece will have to propose further spending cuts and/or tax increases in order to move the process forward.

Over the past couple of years, the debt crisis has followed a familiar script in which policymakers appear to await some sort of "market riot" before they begin to ease policy and to pledge further budget cuts. Unfortunately, however, the efforts to cut budgets have resulted in weaker growth rather than stronger growth, and therefore we have seen scant improvement in Europe's fiscal situation. Policymakers are in a bind. On the one hand, fiscal austerity measures are largely self-defeating in the short term since they act as a drag on growth, but on the other hand, if policymakers fail to enact cuts now, it is hard to imagine they will be doing so in the future.

The world has placed a lot of faith on central banks and their ability to inject the liquidity needed to help solve debt problems. Indeed, we do believe the European Central Bank needs to further expand its balance sheet as part of the overall effort to bring the crisis under control. These issues cannot be solved by central bank action alone, however, and elected officials need to continue to push forward with their rescue packages. In any case, Europe's debt problems will not be fading any time soon, suggesting that financial markets will continue to trade in a somewhat "risk on/risk off" pattern.

                 Our Market View Remains Positive,
but a Consolidation Is Likely 

Notwithstanding last week's modest setback, risk assets have enjoyed a strong run over  the past couple of months as reduced fears from the European Union financial problems and a better economic climate in the United States have driven investors back into  stocks and other risk asset classes.

Our view is that the "risk on" trade is the right one in the long term given that the world's major economies are healing and that debt problems are slowly improving. It is important to remember that these processes will not occur in a straight line and we will see setbacks along the way. The rise in risk asset prices, however, has been in a more-or-less straight line, with US stocks rising close to 25% over the past four months. As a result, at some point we will almost certainly see at least a pause in the upward move as markets experience some sort of consolidation or corrective action.

Sources: BlackRock; Bank Credit Analyst. This material is not intended to be relied upon as a forecast, research or investment advice, and is not a recommendation, offer or solicitation to buy or sell any securities or to adopt any investment strategy. The opinions expressed are as of February 13, 2012, and may change as subsequent conditions vary. The information and opinions contained in this material are derived from proprietary and nonproprietary sources deemed by BlackRock to be reliable, are not necessarily all-inclusive and are not guaranteed as to accuracy. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. There is no guarantee that any forecasts made will come to pass. Reliance upon information in this material is at the sole discretion of the reader. Investment involves risks. International investing involves additional risks, including risks related to foreign currency, limited liquidity, less government regulation and the possibility of substantial volatility due to adverse political, economic or other developments. The two main risks related to fixed income investing are interest rate risk and credit risk. Typically, when interest rates rise, there is a corresponding decline in the market value of bonds. Credit risk refers to the possibility that the issuer of the bond will not be able to make principal and interest payments. Index performance is shown for illustrative purposes only. You cannot invest directly in an index.

FOR MORE INFORMATION: www.blackrock.com
BlackRock is a registered trademark of BlackRock, Inc. All other trademarks are the property of their respective owners.
Prepared by BlackRock Investments, LLC, member FINRA.
©2012 BlackRock, Inc. All Rights Reserved. AC5697-0212
Not FDIC Insured * May Lose Value * No Bank Guarantee
 
Featured Article
 

Credit Score Check-up  

Know what goes into your credit score

 

You may know what your credit score is, but do you know what goes into compiling that score? It might surprise you what items are the most heavily weighted in score compilation and what information is not even considered.        

 

First, let's review the definition of a credit score. It is a three-digit number, ranging from 300-850, that is calculated using historical information from a credit report. A credit score is used as a predicting barometer for how a person will pay future bills. When you make an application for credit, it is easier and quicker for the creditor or lender to use the three digit credit score to make a yes/no decision than by viewing a complete credit report.

 

It is important to note what is not in your credit score. Federal law prevents credit scores from being calculated on the basis of: your race, color, nationality, gender, and marital status, whether you receive public assistance and whether you've exercised your rights under the Equal Credit Opportunity Act or the Fair Credit Reporting Act.    

 

The most commonly used version of the credit score is the FICO score. It was developed by the Fair Isaac Company.  (Amaze all your friends by knowing that bit of trivia.) Please note that FICO, the company, is not itself a credit bureau nor does it collect credit report data. It is a compiler of your credit score based on data collected from major credit bureaus.  (The three major credit bureaus are: Equifax, Experian and TransUnion and are not the direct subject of our discussion.)  

 

The specific equation or equations or programs used to generate a credit score are complex and well-guarded secrets; however, different pieces of your credit history are given different weights, as shown below:         

  • Payment history - 35%. The past is often the best predictor of the future. How did the person pay in the past? Delinquencies - recent and past - late payments, and bankruptcies affect this sector's part of the score.
  • Debt level - 30%. Comparisons matter. "The amount of debt you have in comparison to your credit limits is known as credit utilization. The higher your credit utilization - the closer you are to your limits - the lower your credit score will be. Keep your credit card balances at about 30% of your credit limit or less." (1)
  • Length of credit history - 15%. Long is good.  "Having a longer credit history is favorable because it gives more information about your spending habits. It's good to leave open the accounts that you've had for a long time." (2) 
  • Inquiries - 10%. Too many is too much.  "Each time you make an application for credit, an inquiry is added to your credit report. Too many applications for credit can mean that you are taking on a lot of debt or that you are in some kind of financial trouble. While inquiries can remain on your credit report for two years, your credit score calculation only considers those made within a year." (3) 
  • Mix of credit - 10%. Variety is the spice of life's credit reports.  "Having different kinds of accounts is favorable because it shows that you have experience managing a mix of credit. This isn't a significant factor in your credit score unless you don't have much other information on which to base your score. Open new accounts as you need them, not to simply have what seems like a better mix of credit." (4)

As a practice, FICO does not include the following items in your FICO score: your age, your salary or employer, amount of money in bank accounts, your address, whether you pay child support or alimony or are receiving credit counseling, your own requests for your credit report or "soft" requests for your credit report made by banks for promotional reasons and businesses with which you already have a relationship.   

 

How can you check your credit score?  The federal Fair Credit Reporting Act (FCRA) requires that U.S. consumers be entitled to a free credit report each year.  If consumers stay informed, they can fight identity theft and get fair treatment when applying for credit.   You can check your own credit report as many times as you want to and it will not affect your score by a single point as long as you go through a reputable source such as annualcreditreport.com.  Please remember that having a lender check your credit score for you registers as a "hard" inquiry and will affect your credit score negatively the same way a new application for credit would.  (5)

 

Please note, repeat, please note that only one web site is authorized to fill orders for the free annual credit report you are entitled to under law and that is annualcreditreport.com  or you can  call 1-877-322-8228 or go to ftc.gov/credit to download the necessary form. (Do not contact the three nationwide consumer reporting companies individually.) There are other "imposter" web sites that claim to offer "free" credit reports, scores or monitoring.  They are not part of the legally mandated free annual credit report program.  In some cases, the "free" report from these "imposters" comes with strings attached...eventually demanding you to pay a fee or buy a private subscription for other services. Be aware also that some "imposter" sites use terms and misspellings to trick you into collecting your personal information.  (6)

 

Finally, annualcreditreport.com and the nationwide consumer reporting companies will not send you an email asking for your personal information.  If you get an email, see a pop-up ad or get a phone call from someone claiming to be from annualcreditreport.com or any of the three nationwide consumer reporting companies, do not reply or click on any link in the messages.  It's probably a scam.  Forward any such  email to the

FTC (Federal Trade Commission) at spam@uce.gov. (7) 

 

Citations:  (cut & paste in your browser)    

1, 2, 3 & 4  "What Your Credit Score Is Made Of"  By LaToya Irby  

 

5. "How to View Your Annual Free Credit Report" by Justin Pritchard           
http://banking.about.com/od/loans/a/freecreditrpt.htm  

6., 7. Facts for Consumers; Your Access to Free Credit Reports  
   http://www.ftc.gov/bcp/edu/pubs/consumer/credit/cre34.shtm   

*The views are those of Melissa Stein and should not be construed as investment advice.  All information is believed to be from reliable sources; however, we make no guarantee as to its completeness or accuracy.
**Please note that neither Multi-Financial Securities Corporation nor Stein Wealth Advisors, LLC. give legal or tax advice.  For complete details, please consult with your tax advisor or attorney.
***Securities and Investment Advisory Services offered through Multi-Financial Securities Corporation, member FINRA, SIPC.  Stein Wealth Advisors is not affiliated with Multi-Financial.