General George Patten is
quoted as saying "Take calculated risks. That is quite different from being
rash." Calculated risks are those we have contemplated and considered the
options for managing. The strategies to manage risk include transferring the
risk to another party, avoiding the risk, reducing the negative effect of the
risk, and accepting some or all of the consequences of a particular risk.
When meeting with business
executives, I find many are willing to accept the consequences of a particular
risk. Let's say the risk is the health of their employees. Most employers in
the United States manage the risk associated with employee health by
transferring the risk to a health insurance company. That's worked well for
quite a while. But now, the insurance companies are transferring that risk back
- in the form of higher premiums. Why is that? Insurance premiums are derived
from claim experience or usage. The more we use, the more it costs - hence
higher premiums. Self insured companies, on the other hand, are assuming the
consequences of the risk.

So you may be wondering,
what's driving this usage? There
is no denying that we are an aging population. As we age, we consume more
health care services. But what really drives health care usage is disease.
Health economist Ken Thorpe writes in
a 2005 article "... most of this rise has been driven by a rise in treated disease
prevalence, fueled by an increase in population risk factors such as obesity
and by innovations in the treatment of chronic disease."[i]
It is these underlying risk factors that are not only killing us, but also
eroding corporate profits through increasing health care costs and lost
productivity.
The World Health
Organization defines a risk factor as "any attribute, characteristic or
exposure of an individual that increases the likelihood of developing a disease
or injury." Examples of risk factors are obesity, high blood pressure, tobacco
and alcohol consumption, and not using seat belts.
Chronic diseases are
preventable. Diseases such as cardiovascular disease, cancer, and diabetes- are
among the most prevalent, costly, and preventable of all health problems, accounting
for 7 out of every 10 deaths in the United States.
A Center for Health Statistics study states "Chronic
diseases are mostly preventable but can be difficult to cure since the risk
factors associated with developing chronic conditions are primarily linked to
lifestyle behaviors." [ii] According to
the Center for
Disease Control and Prevention, life style behaviors and choices such as tobacco
use, lack of physical activity and poor nutrition are major contributors to
heart disease, diabetes, and cancer.The
medical care costs of people with chronic diseases account for more than 75% of
the nation's $2 trillion medical care costs.
Until the underlying risk
factors are addressed - which are primarily addressed through behavior change -
health care costs and disease prevalence will continue to rise. Are you taking calculated risks or being rash?
[i] Thorpe, K.
The rise in health care spending and what to do about it. Health Affairs, 24, no. 6 (2005): 1436-1445
[ii] Behaviors:
the actual leading causes of death. Center for Health Statistics Study, (7) 6
(2008)