Brighton Bulletin

Issue: # 31April  2011

Welcome to the April 2011 issue of the Brighton Bulletin! 

 

The first quarter draws to a close with the S&P 500 approaching its prior 2011 high of 1,343. The index is up over 6% for the quarter, despite a lackluster March, and continues to outpace most of its global equity peers. Commodities have also done well while most broad-based bond indexes have struggled to gain ground. Equity volatility, measured by the Chicago Board Options Exchange Market Volatility (VIX) index, has ranged from 20 to 30 and back to 20 during the quarter which isn't surprising given the turmoil in the Middle East and the earthquake and tsunami in Japan.  Bottom line, while volatile, most broad financial markets gained during the quarter. Looking forward, we are cautiously optimistic.

 

We see a few linked issues with which to contend. First up is inflation. While inflation is creeping into the headline CPI, it's likely no surprise to consumers, as food and energy prices have increased substantially during the quarter. The rise in energy prices, in particular, is worrisome. Research by James Harrison, of Econbrowser (www.econbrowser.com) and UC- San Diego, suggests that a $10 increase in oil prices can reduce GDP by 0.2% as higher gas prices translate to reduced consumer spending. Most economists had forecast U.S. GDP growth at roughly 3% for 2011 based on oil prices at $85.00 per barrel. At the current $105, reasonable GDP growth could be assumed at roughly 2.6%. A reduction in consumer spending could put pressure on corporate earnings which are currently forecast to increase over 10% in 2011 (Standard and Poors). U.S. stocks do appear to be fairly valued, in our opinion, so a decrease in earnings could lead to weak performance over the balance of 2011.

 

Second is consumer confidence. It is well known that consumer spending represents roughly 70% of U.S. GDP. While not as high, consumer spending is also a critical component of global GDP. In the U.S., continued weakness in real estate valuations, high unemployment and food and energy inflation conspire to reduce confidence which, in turn, can lead to reduced spending. With local and state governments cutting back and essentially offsetting the increases in federal government spending, we're then left with business spending to maintain GDP growth. Unfortunately, companies appear more comfortable holding on to their cash then they do spending it right now.

 

On the plus side, equity valuations do appear to be fair relative to corporate performance and expectations as well as relative to historical valuations (based on our analysis of data available at the Standard and Poors website - www.standardandpoors.com). Expectations for both revenue and earnings growth have improved and companies do have very strong balance sheets with high cash (and cash equivalent) balances, in aggregate north of $1.5 trillion as of 12/31/10. S&P data shows dividends are increasing as well, which is often considered a bullish signal by investors. The theory is, given the negative connotations associated with cutting dividends, companies will not increase their dividend unless they are highly confident business conditions will enable them to pay the new dividend for the foreseeable future. 

 

To summarize, on the negative side, we have geo-political unrest, slower than desired global economic recovery, the spector of inflation, weak real estate valuation and high equity volatility. On the positive side, we have improving earnings and revenue growth, strong balance sheets, increasing dividends and positive global economic growth. To us, neither fully trumps the other, thus we reiterate we remain cautiously optimistic.  As always we remain ready to make adjustments we believe have the potential to add value for clients and we remain focused on managing volatility as strenuously as we manage for return.

 

   

Sincerely,

 

John P. Middleton, CFA, CAIA
Brighton Financial Planning


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Changing Jobs? Take Your 401(k) and ... Roll It!

 

If you've lost your job, or are changing jobs, you may be wondering what to do with your 401(k) plan account. It's important to understand your options.

 

What will I be entitled to?

 

If you leave your job (voluntarily or involuntarily), you'll be entitled to a distribution of your vested balance. Your vested balance always includes your own contributions (pretax, after-tax, and Roth) and typically any investment earnings on those amounts. It also includes employer contributions (and earnings) that have satisfied your plan's vesting schedule. It's important for you to understand how your particular plan's vesting schedule works, because you'll forfeit any employer contributions that haven't vested by the time you leave your job. Your summary plan description (SPD) will spell out how the vesting schedule for your particular plan works. If you don't have one, ask your plan administrator for it. If you're on the cusp of vesting, it may make sense to wait a bit before leaving, if you have that luxury.

 

Don't spend it, roll it!

 

While this pool of dollars may look attractive, don't spend it unless you absolutely need to. If you take a distribution you'll be taxed, at ordinary income tax rates, on the entire value of your account except for any after-tax or Roth 401(k) contributions you've made. And, if you're not yet age 55, an additional 10% penalty may apply to the taxable portion of your payout. (Special rules may apply if you receive a lump-sum distribution and you were born before 1936, or if the lump-sum includes employer stock.) If your vested balance is more than $5,000, you can leave your money in your employer's plan until you reach normal retirement age. But your employer must also allow you to make a direct rollover to an IRA or to another employer's 401(k) plan. As the name suggests, in a direct rollover the money passes directly from your 401(k) plan account to the IRA or other plan. This is preferable to a "60-day rollover," where you get the check and then roll the money over yourself, because your employer has to withhold 20% of the taxable portion of a 60-day rollover. You can still roll over the entire amount of your distribution, but you'll need to come up with the 20% that's been withheld until you recapture that amount when you file your income tax return.

 

Should I roll over to my new employer's 401(k) plan or to an IRA?

 

Assuming both options are available to you, there's no right or wrong answer to this question. There are strong arguments to be made on both sides. You need to weigh all of the factors, and make a decision based on your own needs and priorities. It's best to have a professional assist you with this, since the decision you make may have significant consequences--both now and in the future.

 

Reasons to roll over to an IRA:

 

· You generally have more investment choices with an IRA than with an employer's 401(k) plan. You typically may freely move your money around to the various investments offered by your IRA trustee, and you may divide up your balance among as many of those investments as you want. By contrast, employer-sponsored plans typically give you a limited menu of investments (usually mutual funds) from which to choose.

 

· You can freely allocate your IRA dollars among different IRA trustees/custodians. There's no limit on how many direct, trustee-to-trustee IRA transfers you can do in a year. This gives you flexibility to change trustees often if you are dissatisfied with investment performance or customer service. It can also allow you to have IRA accounts with more than one institution for added diversification. With an employer's plan, you can't move the funds to a different trustee unless you leave your job and roll over the funds.

 

 

· An IRA may give you more flexibility with distributions. Your distribution options in a 401(k) plan depend on the terms of that particular plan, and your options may be limited. However, with an IRA, the timing and amount of distributions is generally at your discretion (until you reach age 70½ and must start taking required minimum distributions in the case of a traditional IRA).

 

· You can roll over (essentially "convert") your 401(k) plan distribution to a Roth IRA. You'll have to pay taxes on the amount you roll over (minus any after-tax contributions you've made), but any qualified distributions from the Roth IRA in the future will be tax free.

 

Reasons to roll over to your new employer's 401(k) plan:

 

· Many employer-sponsored plans have loan provisions. If you roll over your retirement funds to a new employer's plan that permits loans, you may be able to borrow up to 50% of the amount you roll over if you need the money. You can't borrow from an IRA--you can only access the money in an IRA by taking a distribution, which may be subject to income tax and penalties. (You can, however, give yourself a short-term loan from an IRA by taking a distribution, and then rolling the dollars back to an IRA within 60 days.)

 

· A rollover to your new employer's 401(k) plan may provide greater creditor protection than a rollover to an IRA. Most 401(k) plans receive unlimited protection from your creditors under federal law. Your creditors (with certain exceptions) cannot attach your plan funds to satisfy any of your debts and obligations, regardless of whether you've declared bankruptcy. In contrast, any amounts you roll over to a traditional or Roth IRA are generally protected under federal law only if you declare bankruptcy. Any creditor protection your IRA may receive in cases outside of bankruptcy will generally depend on the laws of your particular state.

 

· You may be able to postpone required minimum distributions. For IRAs, these distributions must begin by April 1 following the year you reach age 70½. However, if you work past that age and are still participating in your employer's 401(k) plan, you can delay your first distribution from that plan until April 1 following the year of your retirement. (You also must own no more than 5% of the company.)

 

· If your distribution includes Roth 401(k) contributions and earnings, you can roll those amounts over to either a Roth IRA or your new employer's Roth 401(k) plan (if it accepts rollovers). If you roll the funds over to a Roth IRA, the Roth IRA holding period will determine when you can begin receiving tax-free qualified distributions from the IRA. So if you're establishing a Roth IRA for the first time, your Roth 401(k) dollars will be subject to a brand new 5-year holding period. On the other hand, if you roll the dollars over to your new employer's Roth 401 (k) plan, your existing 5-year holding period will carry over to the new plan. This may enable you to receive tax-free qualified distributions sooner. When evaluating whether to initiate a rollover always be sure to (1) ask about possible surrender charges that may be imposed by your employer plan, or new surrender charges that your IRA may impose, (2) compare investment fees and expenses charged by your IRA (and investment funds) with those charged by your employer plan (if any), and (3) understand any accumulated rights or guarantees that you may be giving up by transferring funds out of your employer plan.

 

What about outstanding plan loans?

 

In general, if you have an outstanding plan loan, you'll need to pay it back, or the outstanding balance will be taxed as if it had been distributed to you in cash. If you can't pay the loan back before you leave, you'll still have 60 days to roll over the amount that's been treated as a distribution to your IRA. Of course, you'll need to come up with the dollars from other sources.

Copyright 2006-2010 Forefield Inc. All rights reserved.

 


Inheritance-what are some options?

 

A recent article posted at Forbes.com discussed how to handle a potential inheritance. I thought the article had several points worth further discussion. To summarize the article quickly, the focus was on how to ensure assets were inherited as desired and used appropriately by beneficiaries. The Center for Retirement Research at Boston College estimates that 70% of baby boomers will receive inheritances. The aggregate value is estimated at $8.4 trillion or roughly $300,000 per household.

 

The points of interest to me regarded stretching out an inherited IRA, reviewing estate plans, and addressing these plans with your parents (I would add addressing with your children as well). If you inherit an IRA from your spouse, per the IRS you typically have 3 options:

 

  1. Treat it as your own IRA by desinating yourself as the owner
  2. Treat it as your own IRA by rolling it over into your IRA
  3. Treat yourself as the beneficiary 

 

If you are a non-spouse beneficiary of an inherited IRA you can't treat it as your own. That means you can't contribute to the IRA or roll the IRA over into an existing IRA.  Distribution requirements for spouse inherited IRAs depend largely on whether the inheriting spouse decides to "own" the IRA or remain the beneficiary. Distribution requirements for non-spousal beneficiaries are generally easier to determine - essentially distributions must begin in the year following the year of death and are based on the IRS life expectancy Table I (single life).  Good decision-making can extend the useful life of the inherited IRA.

 

Estate plans should be reviewed periodically, a general suggestion is every 3 to 5 years, to ensure the estate plan properly identifies all assets, all beneficiaries, meets your current intent and complies with existing tax regimes and laws. Obviously, make any changes desired or warranted after reviewing the plans. When appropriate, review the plans with your children so they understand your intent and their responsibilities as beneficiaries.

 

Finally, speak with your parents to understand their estate plans.  As the article highlights, this is particularly important when a family business is involved.  Understanding your parents assets, their intentions regarding distributions of assets and addressing any potential difficult issues now would save time and expense later. 

 

 

Please contact us if you have any questions or would like to discuss anything in greater detail.

 

 

In This Issue
Your 401(k) ..Roll it!
Inheritance
Estate Tax Changes




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Disclosures

  • The views expressed herein represent the opinion(s) of Brighton Financial Professionals as of the date of this posting, and may change at any time without prior notification.
  • The links to other websites provides a path to other entities' websites that are not affiliate with BFP.  BFP is not responsible for the content or information practices by websites linked to Brighton.  Often we provide links to other sites solely as pointers to information or topics that may be of interest to users of our website. Such links do not imply BFP's endorsement of any information or material on any other site and BFP disclaims all liability with regard to your access to and use of such linked websites.
  • Brighton Financial Planning utilizes information from third party sources. Brighton Financial Planning is not responsible for verifying the accuracy of any information sourced by such third-party information providers. 

  • Any mention of products or securities does not constitute a recommendation, investment, legal or tax advice, as BFP is not holding itself out as providing such advice. 
  • Any mention of securities does not represent an offer or a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell such securities, particularly in those jurisdictions where such solicitation or offer is prohibited by law. 

  • As with all investments, there are inherent risks to investing that may not be able to be mitigate through responsible investing.  You should consult with a qualified investment adviser prior to investing.