Tuesday 1st July 2008
The Financial Fortnight That Was
In This Issue
Quote for Consideration
Financial Topic Demystified - Investing for Income
Fascinating Financial Fact
Market News
On the Lighter Side
Getting the Right Price for advice
Eureka Report Articles
Other Websites of Interest
Recent Updates to Our Website
Calling for your feedback
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Greetings! 
 

Welcome to the new financial year and our latest edition of The Financial Fortnight That Was.  We hope that the new financial year is a successful one for you. 

In this edition we look at investing for income, provide a summary of the movements in markets over the past fortnight and look at getting the right price for financial advice. We hope that you find the material informative and relevant. 

Enjoy the read!

A Quote for Consideration

An investment in knowledge pays the best interest.

Benjamin Franklin

 

Financial Topic Demystified 
Income Distributions from Managed Funds 


A friend asked us during the week where he could "park" some cash while he was tossing up possible renovation plans for his home.  A similar situation might be faced by those saving for a home deposit or who already have a deposit and are waiting for home prices to fall before jumping in to buy.

 

The first suggestion that comes to mind would be to focus on removing volatility from any possible investment (and in doing so reducing risk).  In particular, a serious look at investing for income is definitely warranted.  So what is investing for income?

 


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The most commonly understood way to earn income from an investment is through cash and fixed interest style investments.  The common thread between these investments is that they pay regular interest payments over time while the initial value of the investment does not grow.

 

At the moment these style of investments are offering relatively strong returns.  The Weekend Australian Financial Review provided a good summary of some of the better returning cash and fixed interest style investments.  They firstly looked at cash accounts with the most compelling options those provided by online saving accounts.  The top three were Bankwest 8.25%, RaboPlus 8.00%, ING Direct 8.00% (It should be noted that these are introductory offers but still great returns.)
 

The great benefit of cash is that it is easily converted into money that can be used to purchase goods and services.  In financial terms these investments are highly liquid.  You are also very confident that you will not lose any of the initial investment along the way.  The major risk is that while this money is sitting in cash, alternative investments are providing a higher rate of return.

 

The next in the pure income line of investments are term deposits.  For agreeing to lock your money up with a financial institution for a given term, the institution pays you a slightly higher return compared to deposit accounts.  It was interesting to note in the AFR article that not until terms of at least 90 days were the rates above or equal to the rates offered by the top online savings accounts.  Basically what the current rates are telling us is that an investor is not compensated for having money locked away for less than a 3 month term.  The major risks with this type of investment is that you either need the money before the end of the term or interest rates in the economy increase meaning that your money could be yielding higher levels of income elsewhere (for the same level of risk).

 

The third basic category is fixed interest securities otherwise known as government or corporate bonds.  Investors purchase these investments with the issuer promising to pay a particular rate of return over a given term with the initial investment being returned to the investor at the completion of the term.  Bonds are traded and therefore once issued may move up or down in price. These changes are most likely caused by changes of interest rates in the economy or a change in the likelihood of the issuer meeting its repayments on the bond.  The major risks therefore are that interest rates in the economy increase causing the price of the bond to fall in value also meaning you could get better returns elsewhere or the issuer is unable to make the payments as required.  (More about this default risk later).

 

From here we move to less traditional cash and fixed interest securities.

 

In between the pure fixed interest investments and growth assets, like shares and listed property, are what are known as hybrids.  These are bond-like offerings which provide regular income payments but have equity characteristics. Should a company collapse, holders of these securities are treated like shareholders and their claims come after the claims of debt holders (bond holders).  You therefore should expect to be paid higher rates of income compared to bond holders.  For more information on an example of this style of security take a look at Scott Francis' recent Eureka Report article - Suncorp offering with a bonus.

 

The clear risks with hybrids are that the company will not be able to make the payments however one risk that is removed is that of interest rate movements.  The products tend to have a floating rate tied to a relevant cash rate.  At the moment the premium above the cash rate is high as the credit market is tight and companies have to pay more to secure your money.

 

Then we come to the property sector.  Most people invest in property to hopefully see the value of the property grow.  However, there is also the benefit of receiving rent provided by tenants.  We access property exposure in our portfolios through listed property trusts.  Latest figures put income from listed property at 8 or 9%.  However, it should be noted that there has also been a significant depreciation in the value of listed property trusts over the past year, the worst year in history.  Therefore the major risk of utilising property investments for income is that the price of the investment will fall in value.

 

Finally, the last major income producing investments are shares.  Again, many investors get caught up in the growth side of the share return story while forgetting the income being provided through dividends paid by companies.  This story is particularly attractive in the Australian context thanks to the dividend imputation tax system whereby companies are able to pass on dividends that effectively have already been taxed at 30% before reaching the investor.

 

The AFR article on the weekend provided some interesting figures regarding dividend yields.  Historically companies in Australia have paid yields for industrial stocks averaging 5.2% since 1961.  Goldman Sachs JB Were are predicting yields of 5.9% for the year up from 5.6% last year.  Macquarie Research forecast 6.1% for the current year increasing to 6.4% in the following.  This gradual increase in dividends being received by investors is a real benefit of these investments that is often forgotten.  Of course the recent plunge in sharemarkets have detracted from shares as investments but if you are willing to hang on and wait for share prices to rise, this level of income being paid is nothing to be sneezed at especially given the tax benefits of fully franked dividends.

 

Across all of the income producing investments there is an underlying risk that the holder of your cash, including shares, will not be able to return it when required.  i.e. they default on returning the money you have loaned them.  The greater the risk of this occurring, the higher the return that should be expected by investors.  Groups like Standards & Poors help determine this risk by providing ratings of the underlying products and companies.  Having consideration of the rating of a product or company is key to assessing whether the investment is suitable for you.  It is interesting to note that the best yielding income investment mentioned in the AFR article was the Babcock & Brown Infrastructure EPS (BEPPA) returning 23%.  The recent news surrounding Babcock & Brown show that this is indeed a riskier style of investment.

 

For more information on this topic, Vanguard have produced a really clear explanation of Investing for Income in their Plain Talk library which is well worth a look.

 

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How do we apply this?

 

In terms of the initial question posed by our friend, we would be recommending that he place his cash in an online savings account or term deposit with a high rated bank if he knew that he would definitely not need the money for at least 3 months.  Those with a little more appetite for risk might look towards the higher rated hybrid offerings like those offered by Suncorp with the clear understanding that if you needed the money before the end of the term there is a risk that you would need to sell the investment on the market at an amount less than what you originally invested.

 

For those who are investing for the long term we favour a mix of traditional cash & fixed interest securities with a slight exposure to high rated hybrid investments in the current credit crunch climate.  With growth (i.e. more volatile) areas of the portfolio we favour a slight overweighting of higher income producing Australian share and listed property investments.

 
To find out more about our investment approach please take a look at our Building Portfolios and Our Research Based Approach pages on our website.
 
Fascinating Financial Fact
 

The World Wealth Report

 

Last week the World Wealth Report was published by consulting firm Capgemini and financial services group Merrill Lynch.  It provided some interesting insights into the global population of high net wealth individuals (HNWI).  There are now 10.1 million individuals with more than $US1 million in financial asset.  (assets other than collectibles, consumables, consumer durables and primary residence).

 

Some of the facts contained in the report included:

 

·         The biggest HNWI population gains were in the Middle East (up by 15.6 %), Eastern Europe (up by 14.3 per cent) and Latin America (12.2 %).

·         Brazil, Russia, India and China - are starting to dominate the list and posted in aggregate a 19.4 % increase in HNWI population and a massive 21.5 % gain in accumulated wealth.

·         India led the world in HNWI population growth, rocketing ahead 22.7 % thanks to the strong performance of domestic equity markets.

·         China ranked second in HNWI population growth, jumping 20.3 %.

 

The report also provided the average HNWI portfolio asset allocation

·         Equities 33%

·         Fixed interest 27%

·         Cash 17%

·         Property 14%

·         Alternatives 9%

 

Finally, what do the rich spend their money on:

·         Luxury collectables 16.2%

·         Art collection 15.9%

·         Jewellery, gems & watches 13.9%

·         Luxury travel 13.5%

·         Wellness 10.2%

·         Other collectables 8.2%

·         Sports investments 5%

·         Miscellaneous 5.5%

 

Market News
 

Market Indices

Since our previous edition, Australian and global sharemarkets along with listed property have continued to experience negative movements.  The S&P ASX200 Index has fallen 2.62% from the 13th to the 27th of June.  It is now down 15.32% from the same time last year and down 17.40% for the calendar year (2008) so far.  The MSCI World - ex Australia, a measure of the global market, has fallen 5.49% over the same period.  The index is down 17.10% from the same time last year and down 14.17% for the calendar year so far.

 

Emerging markets have also experienced negative movement with the MSCI Emerging Markets Index falling 3.87% since the 13th of June.  It is up 0.26% from the same time last year but down 13.34% for the calendar year so far.

 

Property trusts have also fallen since the 13th of June with the S&P ASX 200 A-Reit Index falling by 3.29%.  The index is down 37.92% from the same time last year and also down 30.93% for the calendar year so far..  The S&P/Citigroup Global Real Estate Investment Trust (REIT) Index, a measure of the global property market, has fallen 6.74% over the same period.  It is down 23.28% from the same time last year and down 12.57% for the calendar year so far.

 

Exchange Rates

As of 4pm the 27th of June, the value of the Australian dollar has risen against major benchmarks for the fortnight.  It has risen against the US Dollar by 2.11% at .96.   It is up 14.12% from the same time last year and up 8.89% for the calendar year so far.  Since June 13th the Aussie has also risen 1.52% against the Trade Weighted Index now at 73.4.  This puts it up by 7.31% since the same time last year and up 6.84% for the calendar year so far.  (The Trade Weighted Index measures The Australian dollar against a basket of foreign currencies.)

 

On the Lighter Side

"If past history was all there was to the game, the richest people would be librarians."

Warren Buffet 

Getting the Right Price for advice
Scott's Financial Happenings Blog - Posted Monday 23 June 
 

You might have expected that the headline of the Weekend Australian Financial Review's lead article would have put a shiver down the spines of financial advisors like ourselves - "Spotlight on Financial Planners - High Price for Advice".  To be frank, I was a touch hesitant at first in reading the article but on reflection found that there were a range of comments made in the article that highlighted in a positive light the services of some financial advisors.  I wanted to address a few of these points.

 

1) The key problem is that financial planners have been paid in trail commissions from fund managers and not their clients.

 

Trailing commissions are payments by fund managers to financial planners for directing the planner's clients to invest in the fund - basically a reward to financial planners for using their product.  The article quotes a study from the Industry Superannuation Network (ISN) that suggests four fifths of people believed commissions compromised independent financial advice.  (Of course the ISN have their own bias in that their super funds do not pay commissions to advisors)

 

There is some truth to this argument.  We are clear in acknowledging on our website and when communicating to current and prospective clients that we do not accept commissions from fund managers.  There is actually a cash fund in our recommended portfolio for non super and pension clients that requires us to receive a commission.  Every three months we return this commission to client accounts in full.

 

The reason for taking this stance is that we do not want to even be accused of providing clients with advice that is biased in any way.

 

That being said, we actually believe there are some grounds where financial planners using a trailing commission fee model can provide a really great service for clients, particularly those with smaller funds to invest, as long as they are not encouraged to recommend particular investment because of the commission.  Commissions can make financial advice affordable.

 

The key point, as mentioned in the article, is that the investments / products that are recommended are done so with the client's best interests in mind.

 

2) There is a confusion amongst investors about payments that are received by financial advisors.

 

This is for us the key issue.  A financial advisor must be providing clients with all of the information about payments they are making, or the product that they are using is making to advisors.  Clearly showing the dollar value of these fees along with the percentage fee is really crucial.

 

A fee that is very rarely mentioned is what are called volume rebates.

 

Volume rebates are where a financial product provider "rewards" a financial advisor for directing their clients to a particular product or service by providing them a volume rebate.  The level of the rebate increases as the amount of funds directed to the product provider increases.

 

We utilise an administration service for clients.  Our group of financial advisory firms receives a significant rebate from the service because of the large amount of assets which are invested with the service.  A financial advisor has three basic choices here, keep the rebate for themselves or pass it back to clients, or a combination of the two.  We choose to pass the rebate back in full to our clients and in doing so significantly reduce the administration service fee by almost half.

 

3) Are asset based fee models the same as trail commissions?

 

There is a clear distinction between the two.  A financial advisor using a trailing commission fee model is being paid for recommending particular investments whereas an assets under management fee model advisor is being paid based on the total amount of assets the client wants managed by them.  The second are free to recommend investments they prefer for clients without being biased by commissions from a particular product.

 

The article suggests that another problem with trailing commissions or asset based fees is that investors do not understand how the payments grow over the years.  This is a fair point.  The usual reason for seeking advice in the first place is to grow your level of investments.  Under a trailing commission or asset based fee arrangement, the dollar amount of fees grows as the value of the investment grows.

 

The asset based fee model is sound as long as fees are capped, i.e, they do not grow without limit.  We place a $4,400 cap (GST inclusive) on our client portfolios.  This means that no client will ever pay us more than $4,400 (less GST) per annum.  Thereby clients can be absolutely sure of the outer limits of the fees that are payable to the advisor.

 

4) Getting out of a relationship with a financial advisor is difficult

 

The article also implies that under the commission fee structure, clients can stop having an ongoing relationship with an advisor but continue to pay the trailing commission fees.  This is a problem with trailing commissions.  Advisors set clients up into particular investments and can do nothing ever again while still receive ongoing payments into their accounts.

 

We are open with our clients that they can choose to cease ongoing advice whenever they want to.  From that point onwards no more advisor fees will be paid into our account.

 

We also do not charge upfront fees for this very reason.  We do not want to place barriers in the way of clients to get in or get out of our advisory services.  Payment of an upfront or annual fee paid once per year can make clients feel like they have to keep using the service to get their money's worth.  We feel it is much healthier for clients to know that they can move to another financial advisor should they feel the need.

 

Concluding remarks

 

The article particularly targets financial planners that use trailing commissions on the basis that this type of fee structure causes planners to be biased in their choice of investments and thereby not working in their client's best interests.

 

There is some validity in this argument - take the Westpoint disaster as an example.  However, investors should not be put off looking for good quality, unbiased advice because of this.  Look for a financial advisor who can clearly identify the costs involved with their advice and who are not biased because of their fee structure or because of who "owns" them.

 

Regards,

Scott Keefer

 
Other blogs over the past fortnight:

 
Eureka Report Articles   
 

Since our last edition Scott Francis has contributed another three items to Alan Kohler's Eureka Report.  Click on the links below to be taken to these items:

 
18th June - Credit crunch's silver lining - Fixed interest investments offering strong returns provide a defensive core to a portfolio. But watch managers' fees and tax implications.

20th June - Suncorp offering with a bonus - Suncorp's convertible preference shares, offering an 11.8% fully franked yield, a reward that seems reasonable compensation for the risk.

26th June - Reply to letter of the week - Scott replies to a letter written by a subscriber to the Eueka Report based on Scott's Credit crunch's silver lining article.  The letter and reply were both published in the Eureka Report.

 
Other Websites of Interest 

Over the next few editions we plan to highlight a number of other sources of valuable financial and investment information on the internet.  We start this week with a great site in the US - FundAdvice.com.

 

The site is published by Merriman Berkman Next, a registered investment advisor based in Seattle.  After only listening to one of their more recent podcasts published on the 20th June I am already a big fan.  The podcast is a weekly radio program hosted by Tom Cock, Paul Merriman and Don McDonald and actually broadcast on a number of US radio stations.  The presenters are entertaining and keep the discussion flowing nicely while providing really useful general investment advice.  Listeners do need to be careful in that the show is obviously very USA centric but much of the commentary is totally relevant to Australia.

 

Click on the following link to listen to the most recent podcast - Sound Investing Radio Show

 
Recent Updates to Our Website
 

Since our last edition we have updated the Dimensional Fund Performance Graphs page on our website.  The graphs show the performance of the Dimensional funds that we use to build investment portfolios for our clients.  They have been updated to contain data up until the end of May 2008.

 
 

The graphs show positive returns in the Australian market over May with the small and value premium kicking in nicely.  Returns from the global funds were basically flat for the month except for the Global Small Company Trust which saw some positive movement.

 

Overall, the graphs continue to clearly show the existence of the risk premiums (small, value and emerging markets) that the research tells us should exist.

 
 

Some words of caution:

  • past performance does not provide a good prediction of future performance
  • the premiums on top of the market return that have been experienced are above what we would expect in the long term, value premiums should be 2-3% small company premiums 3-4% over the relevant market index.
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Have a great fortnight!
 
Cheers,
The Two Scotts
 

The Financial Fortnight is a publication of A Clear Direction Financial Planning.  It contains general financial advice.  Readers should check this advice with a professional financial adviser before acting on any of the material contained in this email.

Scott Francis & Scott Keefer
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Milton QLD 4064
(07) 3876 6223

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