Tuesday 17th June 2008
The Financial Fortnight That Was
In This Issue
Quote for Consideration
Financial Topic Demystified - Income Distributions from Manageged Funds
Fascinating Financial Fact
Market News
On the Lighter Side
Buffett of a Fund of Hedge Funds Manager - Who would you bet on?
Monday's Money Minute Podcasts
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Greetings! 
 

Welcome to the latest edition of The Financial Fortnight That Was.  In this edition we look at income distributions from managed funds, provide a summary of the movements in markets over the past fortnight and look at Warren Buffett's bet with a Fund of Hedge Funds manager. We hope that you find the material informative and relevant.

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Enjoy the read!

A Quote for Consideration

"If you can eliminate the government as a 39.6%(#) partner, then you will be much better off."
Warren Buffett
# - in the Australian context you could change 39.6% to whatever is your marginal tax rate for each extra dollar of investment income 
 

Financial Topic Demystified 
Income Distributions from Managed Funds
 
The upcoming end of the financial year will still see managed funds making significant income distributions to unit holders.  You may think that this does not make sense given the tough share market conditions we have experienced so far this year, but unfortunately these funds still have taxable gains that need to be passed on to investors.  It is therefore an apt time to consider what makes up these distributions and how they might impact on investment returns that actually reach your pockets.
 
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Managed funds provide two types of returns to their investors.  The first is that the managed fund increases in value. This is a great way for an investor to receive their return, as there is no tax paid on this growth in unit price until they sell. This effectively defers the tax payable on this growth.

 

The second way that an investor receives a return is through distributions. This is a much less tax-effective way of receiving a return as the distribution is taxable. Some of this is likely to be fully franked income, probably the first 4% of a distribution in the current market environment, with the rest of the income being a distribution of 'realised capital gains'.

 

What this means is that over the course of the year the managed fund has been trading some of its shares, and has made a profit on the sale of some shares, a realised capital gain, and has had to pass those capital gains on to investors to be taxed.

 

That is why for taxable investors and superannuation funds it is much better to receive a small income distribution and a large increase in the managed fund unit price rather than the other way around.

 

But investors want the completely opposite outcome - it's one of the reasons so many investors are disappointed with the take-home returns from what looked like a very strong initial return in their managed fund.

 

Moreover, even non-taxable investors (people on a 0% tax rate or superannuation funds in pension mode) should be interested in the level of the distribution, as a high level of distributions is a sign of a high level of trading within the fund - which is expensive and generally ineffective.

 

Scott Francis has written three Eureka Report articles which have included a discussion of the breakdown of returns within the major managed funds in Australia.  It is clear from the data within all three studies that the actively managed funds are passing on much higher levels of capital gains to their investors which has some serious tax consequences.  Take a look at the three articles to get a historical perspective.

 

29th August 2007 - Big-name funds disappoint

15th February 2007 - Funds' Disappearing Act

2nd August 2006 - Planners' Money Drain

 

Scott Keefer also wrote a more recent blog on the 14th of April providing some more up to date anecdotal evidence - No tax from managed funds this financial year? - think again

 

Another question to pose is why do unit prices always fall on the date that distributions are recorded as being made to investors?

 

Up until the time that the distribution has been recorded, the value of the gains received from income and capital gains are reflected in the unit price of the fund to reflect the full value of the investments that the fund holds.  Once these gains have been distributed to clients they are no longer assets within the fund but rather assets of the individual unit holders to which they have been paid.

 

Investors basically have two options when receiving these distributions - reinvest them back into the fund and in doing so buy more units or receive the distribution as cash to use for other investments or disposable income.

 

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How do we apply this?

 

We recommend passive or index style funds which do not trade nearly as much as actively managed funds.  Therefore the income distributions are much more modest and therefore much more tax effective for clients.

 

We also generally recommend to clients that they receive income distributions as cash.  Firstly for the psychological benefits of seeing the income payments being made into cash accounts and secondly it provides the opportunity to use that cash to invest in other areas or to rebalance a portfolio without having to sell down other growth assets.

 

For smaller investors we may be more inclined to recommend reinvestment into the fund.

 
To find out more about our investment approach please take a look at our Building Portfolios and Our Research Based Approach pages on our website.
 
Fascinating Financial Fact
 

Long Term Historical Returns - Russell / ASX Long-Term Investing Report

 

10 and 20 year investment returns have recently been published within the Russell/ ASX yearly report for the periods leading up to the 31st December 2007. 

 

Over 10 years:

 

 

Before tax and after costs

At lowest marginal tax rate (after tax & costs)

At highest marginal tax rate (after tax & costs)

At the superannuation tax rate

Australian shares

13.3%

13.2%

10.6%

13.3%

Australian listed property

12.7%

11.3%

9.0%

11.4%

Residential investment property

11.6%

10.6%

8.8%

10.6%

 

 

Over 20 years:

 

 

Before tax and after costs

At lowest marginal tax rate (after tax & costs)

At highest marginal tax rate (after tax & costs)

At the superannuation tax rate

Australian shares

12.5%

12.7%

10.3%

12.9%

Australian listed property

12.4%

11.0%

9.0%

11.3%

Residential investment property

11.3%

10.2%

8.5%

10.4%

 

An interesting point of comparison is the greater tax effectiveness of Australian shares as an investment.

 

Market News
 

Market Indices

Since our previous edition, Australian and global sharemarkets along with listed property have all experienced negative movements.  The S&P ASX200 Index has fallen 4.89% from the 30th May to the 13th of June.  It is now down 12.98% from the same time last year and down 15.17% for the calendar year (2008) so far.  The MSCI World - ex Australia, a measure of the global market, has fallen 3.43% over the same period.  The index is down 12.67% from the same time last year and down 9.17% for the calendar year so far.

 

Emerging markets have also experienced negative movement with the MSCI Emerging Markets Index falling 6.43% since the 30th of May.  It is up 7.11% from the same time last year but down 9.85% for the calendar year so far.

 

Property trusts have also fallen since the 30th of May with the S&P ASX 200 A-Reit Index (formerly known as the Property Trust Index) falling by 6.52%.  The index is down 38.36% from the same time last year and also down 28.59% for the calendar year so far..  The S&P/Citigroup Global Real Estate Investment Trust (REIT) Index, a measure of the global property market, has fallen 4.16% over the same period.  It is down 20.47% from the same time last year and down 6.24% for the calendar year so far.

 

Exchange Rates

As of 4pm the 13th of June, the value of the Australian dollar has fallen against major benchmarks for the fortnight.  It has fallen against the US Dollar since the 30th of May by 1.64% at .9402.   It is up 11.77% from the same time last year and up 6.65% for the calendar year so far.  Since May30th the Aussie has also fallen 0.69% against the Trade Weighted Index now at 72.3.  This puts it up by5.39% since the same time last year and up 5.24% for the calendar year so far.  (The Trade Weighted Index measures The Australian dollar against a basket of foreign currencies.)

 

General News

Since our last edition the RBA board has decided to keep official interest rtes at 7.25%.  In the brief statement released with the announcement of the decision the RBA suggested that they believe inflation is likely to remain relatively high but it should decline over time provided demand evolves as expected.  Therefore the current stance on monetary policy remains appropriate for the time being.

 

Statistics coming out of the Australian Bureau of Statistics over the past fortnight have seen the official unemployment rate remaining steady at 4.3% as of the end of May.  However, the participation rate fell to 65.2% and employment fell by 19,700 jobs.  The ABS has also released their latest estimation of Australia's population suggesting it has grown to 21,181,000, a rise of 1.7% for 2007.  Finally, they have also released the latest economic growth figures up to the end of the March quarter with the economy growing by 0.6% in the March quarter and a total of 3.6% through the year ending 31st March 2008.

 

On the Lighter Side

Six habits that help produce the anything-but-efficient markets:
Think Short Term
Be Greedy
Believe in the Greater Fool
Run with the Herd
Overgeneralize
Be trendy

Buffett or a Fund of Hedge Funds manager - Who would you bet on?
Scott's Financial Happenings Blog - Posted Monday 9 June 
 

The Fortune magazine's website, based in the US, has published an article discussing a recent wager between Warren Buffet and a fund of hedge funds manager - Protégé Partners LLC - Buffett's big bet.

 

The actual bet is phrased:

 

"Over a ten-year period commencing on January 1, 2008, and ending on December 31, 2017, the S & P 500 will outperform a portfolio of funds of hedge funds, when performance is measured on a basis net of fees, costs and expenses."

 

Protégé has placed its bet on five funds of hedge funds, specifically the averaged returns that those vehicles deliver net of all fees, costs and expenses.  Buffet on the other hand has bet on the returns from Vanguard's low-cost S&P 500 index fund.

 

The arguments for each are nicely summarised on the Long Bets site - Bet 362 - www.longbets.org/362

 

Buffet's argument is predictable:

 

"A lot of very smart people set out to do better than average in securities markets. Call them active investors.

 

Their opposites, passive investors, will by definition do about average. In aggregate their positions will more or less approximate those of an index fund. Therefore the balance of the universe?the active investors?must do about average as well. However, these investors will incur far greater costs. So, on balance, their aggregate results after these costs will be worse than those of the passive investors.

 

Costs skyrocket when large annual fees, large performance fees, and active trading costs are all added to the active investor's equation. Funds of hedge funds accentuate this cost problem because their fees are superimposed on the large fees charged by the hedge funds in which the funds of funds are invested.

 

A number of smart people are involved in running hedge funds. But to a great extent their efforts are self-neutralizing, and their IQ will not overcome the costs they impose on investors. Investors, on average and over time, will do better with a low-cost index fund than with a group of funds of funds

 

In reply, Protégé agrees with Buffet's premise that "active management in a narrowly defined universe like the S & P 500 is destined to underperform market indexes.  That is a well-established fact in the context of traditional long-only investment management."  However they go on to suggest "Funds of funds with the ability to sort the wheat from the chaff will earn returns that amply compensate for the extra layer of fees their clients pay".

 

Not that we will be betting on the outcome, but if we were we would be putting our cash on Buffet's S&P 500 index strategy.  Buffet has both runs on the board in terms of his own investment success and is well backed up by scientific research.  Take a look at our website page outlining our research based approach if you would like to know more.

 

We look forward to commenting on the outcome in January 2018!!

 

Regards,

Scott Keefer

 

Other blogs over the past fortnight:

5th June - Ten questions to ask your financial planner

5th June - Seeking help from the right planner

15th June - Babcock & Brown - analyst recommendations provide no protection

17th June - The problem of distributions from actively managed funds - podcast & transcript


Click here to be taken to Scott's Financial Happenings Blog 
Monday's Money Minute Podcasts Update
 

In the most recent podcast, Scott Keefer looks at the looming end of financial year distributions to be made to investors by managed funds.  He highlights the tax ineffectiveness of many of these distributions - The problem of distributions from actively managed funds.

 

Click here to be forwarded to the Monday's Money Minute Podcasts

 
We hope you have enjoyed reading the latest edition.  If you have any comments or suggestions for future topics please do not hesitate to get in contact.
 
Have a great fortnight!
 
Cheers,
The Two Scotts
 

The Financial Fortnight is a publication of A Clear Direction Financial Planning.  It contains general financial advice.  Readers should check this advice with a professional financial adviser before acting on any of the material contained in this email.

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