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Investment Insight
1st Quarter 2009 |
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Many Taxpayers Stand to Gain From New Laws
New Year's Day brought relief for most taxpayers, even as President-elect Barack Obama is proposing new tax cuts as part of his wide-ranging economic-stimulus package.
Here are some of the major changes that automatically became law on Jan. 1. While these won't affect tax returns for 2008, they may help taxpayers with 2009 planning.
Estate and gift taxes. The increase in the basic estate-tax exemption amount to $3.5 million stems from a 2001 law. (Transfers from one spouse to the other typically remain tax-free.)
The top federal estate-tax rate for 2009 remains unchanged at 45%. In 2010, the estate tax is supposed to disappear entirely for that one year only -- but that isn't likely to happen. During the campaign, then-Sen. Obama proposed retaining the $3.5 million exclusion amount and the 45% top rate in coming years.
The annual gift-tax exclusion rose to $13,000, up $1,000 from 2008. This means you can give as much as $13,000 this year to anyone you wish, or to as many people as you want, without having to worry about taxes or even having to file any forms with the Internal Revenue Service. |
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The lifetime gift-tax exclusion amount remains unchanged at $1 million.
Retirement savings. The maximum amount that someone under age 50 can contribute to a 401(k) plan for 2009 rose to $16,500 from $15,500. Those 50 or older can put away an additional $5,500 this year, for a total of $22,000, up from $20,500.
Minimum distributions. President George W. Bush recently signed legislation that allows millions of people who are 70½ or older to skip taking distributions from IRAs and certain other retirement plans during 2009. That new law, however, didn't provide any relief for 2008 -- as many investors had been hoping for from Congress, the Treasury Department or both. See full story to read about Social Security taxes, mileage rates and more, located at MarketWatch. (free registration may be required)
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Will the Auto Bailout Work? Now that GM and Chrysler are getting $13.4 billion, only two things are certain: more pain lies ahead for Detroit and the cost of the bailout will rise.
The $13.4 billion in federal loans announced by President Bush Friday morning should be enough to get the automakers through the next few months. But this lifeline won't solve the immediate problems dogging the entire U.S. auto industry. Tight credit and a weakening U.S. economy have left industrywide auto sales at their weakest point in 26 years.
Industry critics say this plan won't force the automakers to do what is really necessary to become competitive with the nonunion auto plants operating in the United States by overseas automakers. They wanted tougher rules that would have forced the companies into bankruptcy unless the union agreed to painful wage and benefit cuts.
Other critics argue that without a more competitive labor agreement, there's no way the automakers can compete in the long term. To them, the loans only reduce the incentive for the automakers and UAW to agree to changes that are needed.
Still, it is indisputable that it will take even more money from Washington to truly get the Big Three back on track. GM and Chrysler should receive $4 billion more from the Treasury Department's bank bailout fund once Congress releases the remaining money set aside for that program.
Each of the Big Three has indicated that their finance arms are likely to seek other bailout money set aside for banks and Wall Street firms so they can help provide needed financing to their customers and their dealers.
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Why '09 May be Better than '08
Here's hoping that 2009 is a better year than 2008. It's hard to imagine how it could be much worse. The economy has been in recession all year. Housing prices have plunged. Nearly 2 million jobs have been lost. The S&P 500 has plummeted more than 40% this year.
So what's going to happen with the economy and markets next year? Well, sorry to disappoint many of my doom and gloom readers out there, but I think the economy will slowly start to gain momentum sometime late next year. But it's important to note that this still appears to be a long, painful recession and not another depression.
"We are in the eye of the storm. The fourth quarter of this year and first quarter of 2009 will be bad. But this is probably the worst of it. We should see banks becoming more willing to lend by the end of the first quarter," Joe Liro, an economist with Stone & McCarthy Research Associates in Princeton, N.J.
And the main reason for this is that the Federal Reserve has been extremely busy doing everything it can to prevent a full-blown depression. Even though it may seem like nothing that the Fed has done has helped, the many moves taken by the central bank will eventually have their desired effect.
In addition, the incoming Obama administration is expected to propose a massive stimulus package geared toward job creation and infrastructure building. That too, could provide a lift to the economy later in the year.
And with all that in mind, it's worth remembering that the stock markets often anticipate recoveries. So even though the economic numbers and corporate earnings reported released early next year will probably be horrific, investors may look past that. At some point, investors will realize that the sky isn't really falling. And sentiment could wind up turning on a dime. See full story, located at Yahoo! Finance.
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Managing Health Care in Retirement
Trying to rein in rising health care costs is like trying to stop a rocket launch with kite string. And finding the money to pay for medical expenses and long-term care may seem equally futile. But it's a big issue that can affect the quality of your retirement.
The average American spent $2,664 on health care in 2005 (including prescription drugs and vitamins), a 3.5 percent increase over the previous year, according to the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. Not surprisingly, the tab for people 65 and older was much higher -- $4,193 on average.
Use tax-favorable savings vehicles - Health Savings Accounts, or HSAs, can be excellent vehicles to help individuals save for future qualified medical and retiree health expenses on a tax-free basis -- but they're not for everybody. They're great concepts for people who are healthy, who won't be taking all the money out and who can build up some kind of savings pot that they can use on a tax-advantaged basis for health coverage.
Consider long-term care insurance - Buying a long-term care, or LTC, policy can give you and your family peace of mind. But buyer beware! LTC premiums shouldn't cause you financial hardship, and these policies are highly variable in their coverage and premiums.
Stay on the payroll - In Bankrate's own survey, 85 percent of respondents answered (correctly) that Medicare won't cover all of their medical expenses, and 77 percent of those respondents acknowledged that they would be very or somewhat likely to return to work if necessary to pay for uncovered medical expenses. In fact, many experts believe that baby boomers will stay in the workforce for a longer period of time than earlier generations due to a number of factors, including rising health care costs.
Keep fit - No matter what the insurance landscape is like in the future, there are a few basic, yet effective, ways to help you steer clear of taking a job that involves pointing customers toward the plunger aisle. Keep yourself in good shape, eat right and exercise. See full story, located at Bankrate.com.
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Questions or Comments?
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Horan Securities, Inc., doing business since 1996.
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