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February 2012
Real Estate Newsletter
FROM LOUISE FULLER 
In This Issue
1 - 1021 Wilson Way - Feature Listing
Why It's A Good Time To Buy A Home
CMGC Backing Fewer Loans
 
Visit My Website to View Fantastic Canmore listings.
 
 
Featured Article


Greetings!,  

 

 

Sales for the month of January 2012 are as follows:


Please remember these are averages only. 

Single family: 7 sales, average sale price $596,785, average days on market 76 (DOM). 

Half duplex: 1 sale, average sale price $719,000, average days on market 9 (DOM). 

Townhouse: 2 sale, average sale price $500,000, average days on market 50  (DOM).  

Apartment: 6 sales, average sale price $295,000, average days on market 93 (DOM).

Fourplex: 2 sales, average sale price $669,000, average days on market, 125 (DOM).  

Lots: 1 sale, average sale price $445,000, average days on market, 43 (DOM)

For specific details, please email or call and I would be happy to be of assistance.   

Best Regards,
Louise Fuller
#1 - 1021 Wilson Way  
 
Wilson Way
  
Feature Listing
MOUNTAIN GETAWAY!

End unit, views galore, peace and tranquility. The spacious living room has high ceilings, hardwood floors, gas fireplace and lots of windows. The kitchen/dining area off the back has a patio door to environmental reserve. Upstairs has master with walk in closet and ensuite and 2 additonal bedrooms and 4 piece bathroom. The lower level has washer/dryer installed and a bonus room ready to finish as per your specifications! There is a huge oversized single garage AND extra storage for equipment.

 

   
$599,000
CLICK HERE FOR MORE INFORMATION

Jan Graph

 

 

  WHY IT'S A GOOD TIME TO BUY A HOME   
By Mark Weisleder

I believe there has never been a better time to buy a home. I've been in the industry for 28 years as a lawyer and I haven't seen so many positive signs for housing, whether you are thinking or buying or locking in a mortgage.

Here's why:

Mortgage rates at historic lows: They can't get any lower. Four to five-year fixed mortgages at 3 per cent are unheard of. It is lower than the variable rate that most Canadians have been paying for years. Rates have nowhere to go but up, either later this year or next. If you are paying a variable interest rate, lock in now.

Canada's appeal: This country has everything going for it - a stable banking and political environment, steady real estate market, the natural resources people want and few social tensions. That makes us a safe haven in a volatile world.

Our immigrant draw: Because of the above, we're a draw for immigrants, often wealthy ones. When they get here, they need a home. So in my view while the real estate market may level off in some areas of Ontario, it should stay strong in most of the GTA and likely Canada's other large urban centres as well.

Mortgage defaults: According to CMHC, over 99 per cent of Canadians pay their mortgages on time. It quite a different picture in the U.S. where 7 million homes are in foreclosure and perhaps another 7 million homeowners are under water. This represents almost 15 per cent of all homes. So while the American housing market will likely be weak for the next few years, this should not occur in Canada. Our banks are not dumping homes onto the market, so there is no downward pressure on prices.

Also read: 6 ways to ensure you don't buy the wrong house

Recourse Mortgages: In many U.S. states, if you can't pay your mortgage, the only thing the bank can do is foreclose; they cannot sue you for any shortfall. So when homes go under water, owners give the keys back to the bank. In Canada, loans are almost all Recourse, meaning if you don't pay and there is a shortfall, the lender can sue you for the difference. This is another reason why, in my opinion, even if times do get tough, Canadian homeowners will find a way to make the payments until things improve.

Income-to-price ratio: Another misleading statistic is that in major markets, like Toronto, the average price of a home is now 4.6 times the income of the average Canadian. This same statistic was found just before the U.S. and UK markets went into the tank. However, if you look at median incomes of Canadians against the median cost of homes, this average comes down to around 3.5, which is not dangerous. Using averages are wrong. A person receiving social assistance will not buy a home, and should not be included in any relevant statistic.

High consumer debt: The warnings about rising debt ratios must be examined carefully. The Governor of the Bank of Canada is worried that the average personal debt ratio is now 156 per cent in Canada. This means a household making $100,000 per year, owes $156,000, two-thirds of which is mortgage debt. Why is this so bad? At an interest rate of 3 or even 5 per cent, the amount needed to service the debt is manageable. Most people do not pay off their mortgages in one year. Still, this is another good reason to consolidate your debt now, at these low interest rates, and lock in.

No guarantees: Nobody can predict the future and there's always the possibility of a major economic shock. Yet, in a U.S. presidential election year, politicians will do whatever is necessary to prevent it. If the economy goes into the tank, so do re-election chances. The U.S. is already showing signs of economic recovery.

No matter what, do not take on a monthly payment higher than what you can afford. Meet with your lender or mortgage broker in advance to figure out what you can afford before you start looking for a home. It may be the best time to buy, but you need to buy smart.

CMHC BACKING FEWER LOANS
By Garry Marr

Canada Mortgage and Housing Corp. is cutting back on mortgages it insures as the Crown corporation edges closer to a $600-billion cap imposed on it by the federal government, the Financial Post has learned.

A CMHC spokesman confirmed that it had approached a number of lenders at the end of 2011 about reducing its "bulk or portfolio insurance" after third-quarter results showed the agency had committed to back $541-billion in mortgages. CMHC, which guarantees mortgages held by financial institutions, is ultimately backed by the federal government and needs approval to go over the $600-billion limit - something that would create greater risk for taxpayers should the housing market collapse.

"CMHC has recently received an unexpected level of requests for large amounts of CMHC portfolio insurance." said Charles Sauriol, a spokesman for the Crown corporation, in an email.

"To ensure equitable access to portfolio insurance within CMHC's annual limits, an allocation process is being established which has caused some delays. Portfolio insurance provides lenders with the ability to purchase insurance on pools of previously uninsured low ratio mortgages and does not impact CMHC's transactional business."

Financial institutions are required to have mortgage-default insurance when a consumer has less than 20% equity. However, the banks have been seeking insurance on loans with even high downpayments - something not required by law - so they can securitize those bulk lending loans, thereby getting them off their balance sheets and reducing their capital requirements. In those cases in which the loans to value is less than 80%, the bank pays the insurance charge instead of the consumer.

"One of the things that has got them [to the limit] faster than expected is they are doing a lot of conventional insurance for lenders," said one source. Just three years ago,  CMHC had $450-billion in loans it was backstopping and had to go to the government to get that increased to $600-billion.

"I think as a taxpayer you should care. The policy question is why should the Canadian taxpayer take that type of meltdown risk within CMHC," the source said.

The risk to the taxpayer would be a collapse in the market leading to a defaults like the U.S. saw. If CMHC couldn't cover those defaults, Ottawa is on the hook for 100% of any shortfall.

On the surface, insuring conventional loans may not appear as risky as traditional mortgage default insurance because it comes with more equity. The banks have been demanding ultra low fees on the conventional mortgages, arguing the equity position makes them a lower risk. However, lenders are skimming their portfolio to load up mortgages that are 70% to 80% debt to equity and may also have other problems, said a source.

With mortgage defaults well below 1%, some might argue the risk to CMHC is negligible. "If you look at what is backing [CMHC's] guarantee, it should be more than enough to cover any downturn in the market," said one banking source, who asked not to be identified, about CMHC's cash reserves. "Besides, what will the government do, not increase their limit? This could kill the entire housing market."

CMHC gave no indication it would seek an increase in its limit.

"CMHC's mortgage loan insurance limit in force is $600-billion. CMHC manages its mortgage loan insurance business in accordance with this limit," said Mr. Sauriol.

The Crown corporation would be going to the government looking for an increase in its limit at a time when both Bank of Canada Governor Mark Carney and Finance Minister Jim Flaherty have been casting a wary eye at the housing market.

"We watch the housing market carefully and we are prepared to intervene if necessary. Having said that, we're not about to intervene in the housing market now," said Mr. Flaherty this month. For his part, Mr. Carney said "we see that in a number of real estate markets in Canada, valuations are at a minimum, firm; in others, they're probably overvalued. So there are risks there."

Sources have indicated the government is already considering tough new measures for calculating how the self-employed qualify for loans and tightening regulations for condominium buyers, so there is probably little appetite for backstopping even more debt from CMHC. In addition to CMHC, the government has a $300-billion limit for private mortgage default insurers.

Thanks for reading and I will send you more info next month. 

For all your real estate needs I am ready and willing to help you take that next, very important step. 

Sincerely,

Louise Fuller