|
| click to play |
Featured Video Bank of Canada Governor's Pessimistic View of U.S. Bank of Canada Governor Mark Carney says that the current U.S. economic climate is very hostile to business and that the US will never fully recover. Is he right?
Watch the video as McAlvany Wealth Management's David McAlvany talks in -depth about Mark Carney's view that the U.S. economy will never fully recover. |
|
Dear Readers,
Stocks are breaking out. Gold is breaking out. Silver is breaking out. If this keeps up, the Dow may test 14000 - especially if it can rise and stay above last year's highs of 12800, which is the next resistance point. From a technical standpoint, the patterns are extremely bullish - but not bullish enough to pull the trigger on the market as a whole just yet. Gold and silver continue to climb, slowly but surely. Silver is now nearing its 65-week moving average and looking to climb higher. Both gold and silver stocks are breaking through, with many setting new highs since last month's lows. I've said for a few weeks now that we are in the midst of a major buying opportunity - especially in precious metals and related stocks. It's all happening right before your eyes. The recent rally was ignited by the Federal Reserve saying they will be keeping interest rates near zero until at least 2014. This was just another form of money printing via cheap capital which will lead us further into inflation in the future and further devalue the dollar. So while President Obama presented a sunny view in his State of the Union address, the Fed was forced to tell the truth about the ailing US economy in order to justify the low interest rates. Real inflation is already running north of 3%, but the Fed has once again conveniently come up with their own measure of inflation, which comes in just a tad below the Fed's arbitrary 2% "acceptable" target. The outlook is simple. Stocks will rise with inflation and the printing of more money but the returns may not necessarily beat out the real rate of inflation. That means that while your portfolio may rise, your real rate of return may actually be negative (see Everything Has Changed.) The strongest countries around the world, especially China, know that their holdings of US currency is losing value. That's why they're making smart attempts to beat the US' reckless spending habits. Countries such as Switzerland have already reaped the rewards of investing to protect against the devaluation of worldwide currencies (see The Central Bank Secrets.) They're beating the system. So should you. History tells us that gold is inversely correlated to real interest rates: Gold goes up when real interest rates are negative. The announcement by the Fed is a direct insult to anyone who earns, saves, and invests in dollars. It's no wonder why smart investors, financial institutions, and central banks are turning to gold and silver in ever-increasing numbers. The last 11 years have shown that gold's rise is inevitable. If you haven't allocated some of your investment capital to gold, I expect current prices to be about as low as they'll go for 2012 and beyond. And when you consider the reasons for gold's rise as I have mentioned over and over again... - the European debt crisis
- historically low worldwide interest rates
- possible hyperinflation
- devaluation of most currencies
- record gold-buying in China, and other strong countries
- continued requirements of new capital via QE
- highest worldwide debt levels ever
When money can be created from thin air, it's easy to see why gold prices will be much higher this year, and for every year after. It's not a matter of will gold go up, it's a matter of how high. Goldman Sachs just released a report calling gold a low-risk, high-return asset and predicts it will rise to $1940 this year. Morgan Stanley predicts a price of $2,175 a year from now. UBS calls for $2050 within 12 months. And Citigroup is calling for $2400. While these numbers seem don't seem far off, estimates from big banks have proven many times over to be conservative in past years. I see gold going much higher than $2000 within 12 months and stick with my prediction that gold will make its strongest gains this year (see The Last One Standing.) While 2011 proved to be a year of gold and silver accumulation, 2012 will prove to be a breakout year. The market is finally beginning to realise that the only real sector of growth and value is in precious metals. As I said last week, in order for the markets and the economy to continue what appears to be an uptrend, it's going to need more money. More money means more debt. And more debt means a growing inability to service it. A debt saturated society cannot grow. The fed just extended free capital for another few years. Next could be the announcement of more printed money. This will undoubtedly add to the rise in gold. Precious Metal Stocks Since last August stocks have outpaced gold. But this is now changing and gold is now starting to act stronger than stocks. This may be the next move up for gold, and thus a new trend for the stocks within the sector. There are numerous gold and silver stocks that are already breaking out, with many more to follow. In particular, I like a lot of the silver stocks - the space is extremely small with very few strong companies to choose from. There's a reason why every silver stock we have covered have shown readers possible returns of 100% plus. Right now, I have my eyes set on a silver explorer with one of the richest silver deposits in the world. Generally, I wouldn't cover more than six companies per year within the precious metals sector, but this year promises to be one with tremendous potential. I will soon be releasing new reports on companies that I will be buying this year. Your Suggestions If there are companies you think I should be looking at, simply reply to this email with the subject line: Company to Review. Obviously, any company we cover will get a lot of attention from investors, funds, analysts, and brokers. So please be sure that when suggesting companies for us to look at, they make sense.
Disclosure: I am long gold and silver through ETF's and bullion, as well as long both major and junior gold and silver companies.
Until next week, Ivan Lo Equedia Weekly
Questions?
Call Us Toll Free: 1-888-EQUEDIA (378-3342)
|
When Will Silver Reach a New High?
By Andrey Dashkov, Casey Research
In last week's Metals, Mining, and Money from Casey Research, Jeff Clark estimated that given the magnitude of the correction that started last September, it may take until May 2012 for gold to reach a new high. Let's take a look at how long it may take for silver to rebound.
It's a commonly known fact that silver is more volatile than gold. Already in this decade, silver has risen by a factor of 12 from its ten-year low ($48.70 vs. $4.07), while gold has seen about a sevenfold climb ($255.95 vs. $1,895).
This volatility - as you'll see in a minute - holds for corrections as well. On average, silver's retreats have been deeper and longer than gold's. The three big gold corrections we looked at last week averaged 22.8%. Take a look at the three biggest for silver, along with how long it's taken to recover and establish new highs.
The three biggest silver corrections in the current bull market average to 42.1%.
Our recent correction is the second biggest on record since 2001, but what really makes it stand out is the duration. The 2004 and 2006 declines took only five and four weeks respectively to reach their low points. And it was 31 weeks after the crash of 2008 that silver bottomed. Our current decline, measured from the peak reached on April 28, 2011 to its December 29, 2011 low, spans 35 weeks... quite the determined downtrend.
It also takes silver longer to recover than gold: gold's three biggest corrections required an average of 57 weeks and 6 days to regain their old highs, while it's taken silver's three biggest falls an average of 98 weeks and 4 days to catch up.
So how long will it take to recover from the 2011 slump?
Click Here to Continue Reading
More Casey Research Articles
> Will Iran Kill the Petrodollar?
|
Increasing Volume to Uncover Institutional Buying
One of the best ways to find stocks on the move that are grabbing investors' attention is to screen for stocks with increasing volume.
This is because increased volume shows investor interest. As more investors buy the stock, that stock's price should go higher.
But the individual investor, while important to the market, doesn't really have the firepower to affect volume the way that big institutional investors do.
And very few things can move a stock more than institutional buying.
Why is that?
For one, institutions have the ability of buying tens of millions of dollars worth of a stock and even hundreds of millions of dollars. And because their purchases are often so large, it typically takes weeks, if not months, for an institutional investor to build a position.
Given this commitment, considering it will also take several weeks or months to get out, you can be sure that these institutional investors have done plenty of homework to feel good about the fundamental prospects of the company.
This does not mean you can ignore your own analysis or the stock market as a whole. But screening for stocks with rising volume (along with prices of course) can put some fantastic stocks on your radar screen.
What Kind of Volume Increase to Look For
I prefer to search for at least two weeks of increasing volume along with rising prices. And in my testing I have found that 3 weeks performs even better.
One week volume spikes, however, will not get thru as oftentimes those can be driven by one day events. Instead, it's the successive volume increase, which shows true buying demand, that gives this set-up its value.
The volume increase also doesn't have to be huge. We're not talking about a several hundred percent increase. In fact, often those massive increases prove to be turning points.
What we're looking for are noticeable increases, like 10%, 20% or 50% increases, etc. But nothing outrageous, like a 10 fold increase. Remember, the last thing an institutional investor wants to do is call too much attention to himself, while he or she is in the midst of building a position. But if you know what to look for, you can see all of this happening in plain site. And get in for the ride as they flesh out the rest of their position.
Click Here to Continue Reading
More Zacks Videos:
> How to Profit from Option Volatility > Catalysts & Opportunities > Stock Picks for Week of January 23 |
|
Waist Deep in the Big Muddy
By: Peter Schiff Friday, January 27, 2012 With its announcement this week that it will keep interest rates near zero until at least late 2014, the Federal Reserve has put another large crack into the foundations underlying the US dollar. In a misguided attempt to provide clarity and transparency, Ben Bernanke has instead laid out a simple road map for economists and investors to follow. The signposts are easily understood: the Fed will stop at nothing in pursuing its goals of creating phantom GDP growth, holding down unemployment, propping up stock and housing prices, and monetizing government debt. To do so, it will continue to pursue a policy of negative interest rates, while ignoring the collateral damage of unsustainable debt, virulent inflation, misallocated resources and credit, suffering yield-dependent retirees, and a devalued U.S. currency. Not surprisingly, precious metals and foreign currencies rallied strongly on the news - with gold up more than 4.3% and the Dollar Index down nearly 1.6% in the days following the announcement. The Dollar Index is now down more than 3.5% from its highs in mid-January. In coming to the momentous decision to extend the Fed's prior low-rate promises by another 18 months, Bernanke and his cohorts relied on a somber view of the economy that is at odds with the sunnier view presented the night before by President Obama in his State of the Union address. To justify holding rates so low for so long, the Fed is choosing to ignore the fact that CPI inflation is currently running north of 3%. Instead, it has conveniently chosen to look at a hand-picked alternative measure, the chain-weighted core PCE, which comes in just a shade below the Fed's arbitrary 2% target. How convenient. After some changes in key membership at the Federal Reserve's policy-setting Open Markets Committee, in which a few long-time hawks were put out to pasture, the Fed has now established itself at the extreme dovish end of the policy spectrum. Among other central banks around the world, it may now be outflanked only by some very profligate ones in South America and sub-Saharan Africa. Unfortunately, the FOMC has its hands on the wheel of the world's reserve currency, and therefore its decisions may lead the planet into financial chaos as long as other nations are content to follow the Fed farther and farther into a swamp of liquidity. To paraphrase Pete Seeger's protest of the escalation of the war in Vietnam, "we are waist deep in the Big Muddy and the damn fool yells 'press on.'" The only bright side of the announcement is...
|
Technical Trading with Harry Boxer
| click to play |
Harry has more than 40 years of Wall Street investment and technical analysis experience, including eight years on Wall Street as chief technical analyst with three brokerage firms. Watch the January 25th video as he walks you through his technical analysis on a whole bunch of stocks he thinks you should be watching from last week. To see more videos, Click Here. |
Upload Your Own Videos - Embed Videos
Is there a video on Youtube or another website that you want to post without uploading it through our technology?
With our new Embed feature enabled, you can now upload and embed any object or video into your blog post. Many of our users are already embedding videos from Fox, Youtube, and CNBC and sharing them with our users.
Embedding is simple. Just copy and paste the embed codes from another website ino the main blog section of your post (not the exceprt).
Where do you find these embed codes?
Embed codes for videos are usually right beside a video.
Here is an example of where the code is on Youtube, highlighted in yellow:
So share what you find with everyone! To learn more, feel free to email or call us at 1-888-EQUEDIA
|
Equedia Tips - The Markets Tab
Using the search function at the top right corner of the website, search for any company. Let's use Research in Motion as an example. Once you reach their profile page, click on the MARKETS TAB. You should now see 12 seperate tabs underneath their logo. Try clicking on them and you will find in-depth information such as:
Detailed Quotes - Depth/Level II - Options - Java Charts - News - Profile - Financials - Insiders trades - Filings - Analyst Consensus - Earnings - Historical Data (Highs/Lows, Volumes, Closing/Opening Prices)
|
Additional Features (you may not know)
Equedia has many features (you may have overlooked) that will help you manage your investment life and ensure a more enjoyable and useful experience.
Here are just a few of them:
Calendar subscriptions: Keep track of your business events, subscribe to other events, and have access to your online calendar from anywhere in the world. In the near future, we will be working with public companies to add their events to the calendar so that shareholders will never miss an important event again. So call your companies and get them to participate!
Tagging companies to videos and images: Did you know that all of your videos and images can be tagged to public companies? Do you have a video about Google? How about a blog with an image? How about just a blog? Tag it to Google in your blog post, so that anyone searching for Google's quotes and finances can find your coverage!
Buy, Sell, and Hold Ratings: Once you log in, you can submit your buy, sell and hold ratings on the ratings tab so that other shareholders can see what YOU think. You may also access your associates' ratings and see what they think of the shares you hold.
Blog feed subscriptions: Once you add someone as an associate, you will have access to all of their blog posts through your blog feeds. Simply go to your "blog feeds" tab once you log in!
Search function: By far one of the most overlooked but important functions on Equedia. Using the top right hand corner search function, you can find and add any corporations, media users, or investors to your network.
Markets Tab: Under any corporate profile, you will find this tab. Under this tab, you can find the company's news, level 2 depth (delayed), options, charts, profile, financials, insider trades, filings, analyst overviews, earnings, and historical data (these may not be available for all companies)
There are many more useful features on Equedia.com but we think its better if you experience them for yourself. The more associates you have, the more useful Equedia will become for you. So use the new "invite my contacts" function and get started!
|
Forward-Looking Statements
Except for the statements of historical fact, the information contained herein is of a forward-looking nature. Such forward-looking information involves known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors which may cause the actual results, performance or achievement of the Company to be materially different from any future results, performance or achievements expressed or implied by statements containing forward-looking information.
Although the Company has attempted to identify important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially, there may be other factors that cause results not to be as anticipated, estimated or intended. There can be no assurance that statements containing forward looking information will prove to be accurate as actual results and future events could differ materially from those anticipated in such statements. Accordingly, readers should not place undue reliance on statements containing forward looking information. Readers should review the risk factors set out in the Company's prospectus and the documents incorporated by reference.
Cautionary Note to U.S. Investors Concerning Estimates of Inferred Resources
This presentation uses the term "Inferred Resources". U.S. investors are advised that while this term is recognized and required by Canadian regulations, the Securities and Exchange Commission does not recognize it. "Inferred Resources" have a great amount of uncertainty as to their existence, and great uncertainty as to their economic and legal feasibility. It cannot be assumed that all or any part of an Inferred Resource will ever be upgraded to a higher category. Under Canadian rules, estimates of "Inferred Resources" may not form the basis of feasibility or other economic studies. U.S. investors are also cautioned not to assume that all or any part of an "Inferred Mineral Resource" exists, or is economically or legally mineable.
|
|
|
|
This Week's Most Wanted
The Stock Market's Most Interesting Videos That You Should Watch
|
Companies Under Evaluation This Past Week
|
Rants and Raves
Inside the mind of Equedia's editor - unrated, uncut, and unedited
President Barrack Obama gave his State of the Union Address last week. But instead of talking about what really mattered, such as how they are going to tackle the insane deficit, all he offered up were stimulus programs, and expansions to entitlements. While he offered up trillions in potential savings, he never talked about how much he has been spending. As a result, the only way to pay down the deficit would be to make major cuts.
I am not sure if Obama will get a second term. Romney seems to have a strong grasp of the economy. But the last thing we would want again is to have a minorty government in the Whitehouse where nothing gets done. Obama, if you get a second term, please continue doing what you're doing...spend. The more you spend, the more money I will make in the short term to prepare myself when all of the spending eventually catches up and the dollar becomes worthless. As Obama impersonator Steve Bridges said: "We must rebuild our roads and our bridges, so the American people will have a place to live under...and jump off of." |
|
|
|
Disclaimer and Disclosure
Disclaimer and Disclosure Equedia.com & Equedia Network Corporation bears no liability for losses and/or damages arising from the use of this newsletter or any third party content provided herein. Equedia.com is an online financial newsletter owned by Equedia Network Corporation. We are focused on researching small-cap and large-cap public companies. Our past performance does not guarantee future results. Information in this report has been obtained from sources considered to be reliable, but we do not guarantee that it is accurate or complete. This material is not an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy any securities or commodities.
Furthermore, to keep our reports and newsletters FREE, from time to time we may publish paid advertisements from third parties and sponsored companies. We are also compensated to perform research on specific companies and often act as consultants to many of the companies mentioned in this letter and on our website at equedia.com. We also make direct investments into many of these companies and own shares and/or options in them. Therefore, information should not be construed as unbiased. Each contract varies in duration, services performed and compensation received.
Equedia.com is not responsible for any claims made by any of the mentioned companies or third party content providers. You should independently investigate and fully understand all risks before investing. We are not a registered broker-dealer or financial advisor. Before investing in any securities, you should consult with your financial advisor and a registered broker-dealer. The information and data in this report were obtained from sources considered reliable. Their accuracy or completeness is not guaranteed and the giving of the same is not to be deemed as an offer or solicitation on our part with respect to the sale or purchase of any securities or commodities. Any decision to purchase or sell as a result of the opinions expressed in this report OR ON Equedia.com will be the full responsibility of the person authorizing such transaction.
Again, this process allows us to continue publishing high-quality investment ideas at no cost to you whatsoever. If you ever have any questions or concerns about our business or publications, we encourage you to contact us at the email or phone number below.
Please view our privacy policy and disclaimer to view our full disclosure at http://equedia.com/cms.php/terms. Our views and opinions regarding the companies within Equedia.com are our own views and are based on information that we have received, which we assumed to be reliable. We do not guarantee that any of the companies will perform as we expect, and any comparisons we have made to other companies may not be valid or come into effect. Equedia.com is paid editorial fees for its writing and the dissemination of material and the companies featured do not have to meet any specific financial criteria. The companies represented by Equedia.com are typically development-stage companies that pose a much higher risk to investors. When investing in speculative stocks of this nature, it is possible to lose your entire investment over time. Statements included in this newsletter may contain forward looking statements, including the Company's intentions, forecasts, plans or other matters that haven't yet occurred. Such statements involve a number of risks and uncertainties. Further information on potential factors that may affect, delay or prevent such forward looking statements from coming to fruition can be found in their specific Financial reports. Equedia Network Corporation., owner of Equedia.com has been paid $6428 HST per month for 7 months which totals $45,000 plus hst of media coverage on Abzu Gold Ltd. and has been granted 100,000 options at $0.64 vesting over a one year period. Abzu Gold Ltd. has paid for this service. Equedia.com currently owns shares of Abzu Gold Ltd. and we may purchase more shares without notice, as we did after the initial release of our Abzu Gold Report. We intend to sell every share we own for our own profit. We may sell shares in Abzu Gold Ltd. without notice to our subscribers. Equedia Network Corporation., owner of Equedia.com has been paid $45,000 plus hst for a 19-month consulting agreement and 7 months of media coverage on Kiska Metals Corporation and has been granted 100,000 options at $1.35 vesting over a two year period. Kiska Metals has paid for this service. Equedia.com currently owns shares of Kiska Metals Corporation and we may purchase more shares without notice. We intend to sell every share we own for our own profit. We may sell shares in Kiska Metals Corporation without notice to our subscribers.
Equedia Network Corporation is also a distributor (and not a publisher) of content supplied by third parties and Subscribers. Accordingly, Equedia Network Corporation has no more editorial control over such content than does a public library, bookstore, or newsstand. Any opinions, advice, statements, services, offers, or other information or content expressed or made available by third parties, including information providers, Subscribers or any other user of the Equedia Network Corporation Network of Sites, are those of the respective author(s) or distributor(s) and not of Equedia Network Corporation. Neither Equedia Network Corporation nor any third-party provider of information guarantees the accuracy, completeness, or usefulness of any content, nor its merchantability or fitness for any particular purpose.
info@equedia.com
1-888-EQUEDIA
|
|
|