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Greetings!
Borrowing from the Democrat's anti George H. W. Bush, yes, "Its the economy stupid." we now have to add "Its the jobs, stupid." President Obama said loud and clear that if we the taxpayers gave him another trillion or so dollars, unemployment would never go above 8%. He got the money and unemployment is at nearly 12%. What did I miss?
We made our Twitter changes with almost no problems reported. Remember, to sign up to follow us on Twitter, please go to www.twitter.com/northoftheblue/. We thought of using "northoftheblue/subscribers" but decided that this involved too much typing so stayed with the original and very easy to use www.twitter.com/northoftheblue". Twitter is now secure so your investment is also secure. The only ones who can read Twitter are those who are subscribers or are using our two week Trial Subscription.
Remember that you can now follow our Buy-Watch stocks and Portfolio stocks by using NOTB-BUY-WATCH and NOTB-PORTFOLIO lists. NOTB-BUY-WATCH stocks are those that are on our radar screen and that we expect to convert to buys in the near future. With the market in turmoil, we find that we have to wash out some of these stocks because it eventually becomes clear that they will not meet our Basic Rule or any variant of it.
We watch our NOTB-PORTFOLIO listing daily and are currently setting our stops at 2% to 5% below our buy price. That helped us with PL as you can see in the change section below.
Finally, look closely at our Buy Watch listings. You will see two stocks that recently formed Stochastic "W"s.
Dick Brenneke
January 30, 2010
503-233-9452 or 503-926-7567
Portland, Oregon 97202
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| Thinking About the Market
... Saturday January 30, 2010 |
In going through our papers and periodicals I saw an interesting trend. The top ten sectors had a total of 45 stocks posting new highs this past week. The week before there were about twice that many. All the more reason for professional guidance. You just cannot guess and which stocks to buy and when to buy and when to sell. Oh sure that may be fine when all stocks are going up, including the ones your Uncle Herman got as tips from friends at work. Today, if someone offers you a "tip" with no solid reasoning behind it, run.
Interestingly enough, we came up with ten buy stocks. They are buy stocks because they meet our Basic Rule Test. Check it out in the "Rules" section below. In addition we put nine stocks on the Buy Watch list.
Considerable research went in to gathering these stocks. Now we will watch and see when they meet our sell tests. |
New Web Site
.... January 30, 2010
I believe that we have corrected the example page and we will be putting that back on line on Monday.
If you have not check on our "next page, either load it from here as http://www.northoftheblue.com/members/next.html
You can also reach it from our home page by clicking on either of the following links:
"Look at What Members Have at Their Fingertips.
Please let me know what you think of the site. I am especially interested in other things you want reported on the site.
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Executive Newsletters and Twitter
... Analysis v Instant Update January 30, 2010
Several of you have asked whether we are going to abandon our Newsletters in favor of the rather brief Twitter notes. The answers is "NO".
Twitter provides us with a means to get position changes to our users quickly and in a brief fashion. Many of you do not want detailed reasoning behind our buy and sell decisions. This for two reasons: you trust us to do the best analysis possible and therefore give you the best possible decision or you already know the answer and are just looking for confirmation; or you know that you can find the details in the end of the week newsletter.
Therefore, our Executive Newsletter gives you a "Week in Review" while our Tweets give you an instant snapshot.
The Newsletter will continue to provide you with information on when to buy and when to sell and explain why we made the choices we did. Please see past newsletters and the notes below. The reasoning behind our decisions can be found in the "Changes" section.
In summary: Expect to see Twitter notes as we see stocks reach Buy and Sell points. Explanations for these decisions will always be in these Executive Newsletters. Remember, though, that we publish the Newsletters only once per week. This does not satisfy someone who is trying to make the lowest possible buy and the highest possible sell. These folks are just not willing to wait from one to six days to hear what we are doing. With Twitter they don't have to. They get the information the same day we develop it. As an alternative, subscribers can get a clear view of a stock by bringing up the program and looking at DICKPICKS, NOTB-BUY-WATCH or NOTB-PORTFOLIO.
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Security
... for Tweets and for the "My Account" Section
Several of you have raised some very valid questions around security issues, especially as they affect Twitter.
We have found that Twitter accounts can be restricted so that only our subscribers have access to them.
On Wednesday, January 27, we put security into place for our tweets. We are still fixing one or two problems but with those exceptions, all went well. Please let me know if you have any problems. |
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Educational Seminars
... in person
Monday, February 1, we held our first seminar for North of the Blue paid subscribers and trial subscribers. We had 13 people present which was just about what we wanted. According to everyone the meeting was an unqualified success.
We learned several lessons. Perhaps the most important was that one hour is not enough time. Next time we will shoot for two hours with the understanding that those who need to leave early are free to do so. The key thing that became clear to me was that I need to focus on two or three specific examples.
So next meeting we will focus on the stocks we select that week for move to Buy-Watch and for move from Buy-Watch to Portfolio. I'll bring the charts for each so that we can walk through the decision process for every selection.
Our next meeting will be held on Wednesday, February 10, 2010 from 7:00PM to 9:00PM at 11000 SW Barbur Blvd. There is still room but don't wait too long. For those of you who said Monday night that you will return, your space is reserved. Just drop me a note confirming that you will be present.
The meeting format will be simple: I, or another member of our staff, will talk for about 20 minutes. Then we will open the floor for questions
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North of the Blue Stock Charts
... simple, unique and driving gains out of this world
January 30, 2010
Here is a summary of a North of the Blue Chart. All use the same basic structure. Please click on "Chart Image" below to see a comprehensive explanation of North of the Blue Stock Charts.
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North of the Blue Buy/Sell Rules
... Building Block Strategy
North of the Blue is not built on magic dust, mirrors or slight of hand. It is built on one simple rule that allows an investor to control his or her own destiny. It is based on investments in solid stocks and analysis using our easy to understand charts and rules. Our algorithms and insights make North of the Blue a unique approach to making money in the stock market. |
| North of the Blue does not depend on bells, whistles, arrows all over the chart and rulers that you put over a graph. Instead it builds on a single, very simple rule, to generate unbelievable profits. "Unbelievable" that is until you put the money into your bank account.
Here are our basic rules. We suggest that you clip these and keep them by your computer until they become second nature.
North of the Blue Basic Rule (NOTB BASIC RULE): A stock should be bought when its price is increasing up through our Blue Moving Average (BMA) and sold when its price is declining through our BMA.
But using the BASIC RULE leaves a considerable amount of money on the table. We do not capture this money because we wait for the sell half of the BASIC RULE to complete.
In order to recoup more of the gain without adding any risk we modify our BASIC RULE by adding to it our EARLY SELL RULE. The Early Sell Rule states that a stock should be sold when its High Price Strength and Upward Price Strength drop below 85%. We usually incorporate this as a confirming or auxiliary rule. Here's the complete rule:
North of the Blue Basic Rule with Early Sell: A stock should be bought when its price is increasing up through our Blue Moving Average (BMA) and sold (a) when its price is declining through our BMA OR (b) when its High Price Strength and Upward Price Strength drop below 85% on our green stochastic panel, whichever comes first.
In order to capture price gains before the stock price reaches the North of the Blue Moving Average we introduce a final modification of our BASIC RULE. The rule now provides more accurate (and more risky) early buying as well as early selling. Here's the complete rule:
North of the Blue Basic Rule with Early Buy and Early Sell: A stock should be bought (a) when its price is increasing up through our Blue Moving Average (BMA) OR (b) when its High Price Strength and Upward Price Strength join or nearly join and leave a severely oversold Red Zone, turn sharply up and climb through 50% and it should be sold when its High Price Strength and Upward Price Strength drop below 85%.
Another rule is based solely on the behavior of our Upward Price and High Price Strength for any given stock. This rule, called our STOCHASTIC "W" or POWER "W". It is a stand alone rule that does not depend on our Basic Rule. Here it is:
Stochastic "W" or Power "W": A stock can be safely bought when its Upward Price Strength and High Price Strength join and form a clearly identified "W" under our 15% Stochastic or Price Strength Line. The stock can be bought before the last part of the "W" climbs over 15%. To maximize profit the stock should be bought before the upward Price Strength line reaches 50%.
There is one more stand alone rule that does not depend upon our Basic Rule. As you might expect when programmers and other technocrats get together to codify their rules for technical stock analysis, at least one rule will be based on how computers are used or programmed. Don't be disappointed because we left this until last. The rule is our MACHINE TRADING RULE. Here is the rule in a nutshell.
MACHINE TRADING RULE: A stock may be safely bought when it passes through one of our green, horizontal lines going up (Resistance Lines) OR when it rebounds up from one of these lines (Support Lines). The Machine Trading name comes from the points at which institutional investors have their computers set to buy and sell. If you look at how prices behave around these points you will see that these are the points that major market drivers come into play. More on this in a later newsletter.
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Changes
... buys, sells and moves to Buy-Watch since our earlier Executive Newsletter.
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Change List January 30, 2010
*BMA = Blue Moving Average
For the biggest potential hit on the list see CSCO below. This is set for a potential home run. So is NWSA.
| Symbol |
Stock |
Dates |
| REASONING: What rules were applied, why and when. |
| CCPCN |
CapitalCrossing Pref CP PR D |
Buy: Move to Buy Watch |
| REASONING: This stock crossed our BMA on January 29. Unfortunately, it ran into a thicket of Resistance Lines. It looks like the stock has the power to climb through these lines, but we need to wait and see. While the Upward price and High Price Strength have both climbed above 85%, we see that the two lines have separated after leaving the Red Zone. By February 3 or 4 we will know whether there is enough strength to move the price past the resistance lines. If so, this is a buy. Another key factor is volume. There has been significant buying volume (blue lines). Let's see if this continues. |
| LACO |
Lakes Entertainment Inc. |
Buy: Move to Buy Watch |
| REASONING: This stock is poised to climb through our BMA very soon. However, we need to see if the Upward Price and High Price Strength lines cross 85%. It is a good sign that they left the Red Zone tightly locked together. Buying volume has been well above average and should give the stock the punch it needs to go North of the Blue as a winner. |
| NEWP |
Newport CP |
Buy: Move to Buy Watch. |
| REASONING: This stock has shown significant buying volume over the past week or so. Upward Price Strength and High Price Strength have joined forces and are continuing to climb. However, we need to see them pass the 85% marker before this becomes a serious contender. As you can see, the price line is poised to pass through our BMA. |
| INTC |
Intel CP |
Buy: Move to Buy Watch |
| REASONING: Intel is beginning to show serious strength. It broke through our Red Zone with ease and is now beginning to climb toward 50%. We will have to wait until the Strength lines join and the price to work its way through the numerous Resistance Lines between the current price and our BMA. Keep this one on your radar screen. Everything I see and read tells me that silicon chip makers (That's what they make computer chips out of.) are very, very busy. |
| CSCO |
Cisco Systems |
Buy: Move to Buy Watch POSSIBLY BUY STOCHASTIC "W" |
| REASONING: Cisco has been one of the most active stocks on the NASDAQ Exchange over the past ten days. It moved out of the Red Zone while forming a near perfect "W". I say "near perfect". It is a good sign although it could be better. But, the High Price Strength and Upward Price Strength joined an dare now climbing in lockstep. This stock is poised to go North of the Blue with real strength. We are looking at a serious buy in the next day or so. |
| NWSA |
News Corporation CLA |
Buy: Move to Buy Watch POSSIBLY BUY STOCHASTIC "W" |
| REASONING: News Corporation could buck the industry trend by posting real profits. Moreover, we see a solid Stochastic "W" that formed over the past few days. The buy high price average looks like a rocket poised for lunar lift off. It is easy to see this coming out of the Red Jail Bars and climbing north of our BMA. Watch this one closely. |
| WLFC |
Willis Lease Finance Corp. |
Buy: Did not buy |
| REASONING: This stock would have been an excellent buy on November 16 when it crossed our BMA and began to climb. Unfortunately, it did not drop to the level of the BMA again. We have not formulated a rule to allow us to piggyback on a stock with a very strong trend line. I expect that we will be setting up such a rule in the very near future. Certainly we will be giving up the early stages of a gain but if the trend is strong enough, we should be able to buy and hold for that later stages of a gain. More on this later. |
| WRLS |
Tellular CP |
Buy: 2/1/10 at $4.35 |
| REASONING: The stock blew through the BMA at the speed of light. Absolutely no hesitation. However, I decided to wait until the Upward Price Strength and the High Price Strength joined and both rose above the 85% line. They did on 2/1 and with that I bought. As you can see, volume has been very good. |
| OKSB |
Southwest Bancorp Inc. |
Buy: 2/1/10 at 7.35 |
| REASONING: I bought this as scheduled on 2/1/10 as it crossed our Blue Moving Average. Because the Upward Buy and High Price Strength lines came together and did a very solid crossing of the 85% Stochastic line I went ahead with the plan. However, I am hedging this with very tight stops because of the serious Machine Generated Resistance Lines. There is very sold buying volume pushing the price up so all should go well. |
| WASH |
Washington Trust Bancorp |
Buy: Did not buy |
| REASONING: I had scheduled this stock for a buy on 2/1/10. Unfortunately, it could not break through the numerous Resistance Lines just after it crossed the BMA. The ideal buy point would have been on January 22 when it first crossed the BMA. Unfortunately, the stock did not come to my attention until 1/29/10. By that Friday the stock was entangled in the Resistance lines and did not look like it could pass through them. For these reasons I elected not to buy the stock. |
| OKSB |
Southwest Bancorp Inc. |
Buy: 2/1/10 at 7.35 |
| REASONING: I bought this as scheduled on 2/1/10 as it crossed our Blue Moving Average. Because the Upward Buy and High Price Strength lines came together and did a very solid crossing of the 85% Stochastic line I went ahead with the plan. However, I am hedging this with very tight stops because of the serious Machine Generated Resistance Lines. There is very sold buying volume pushing the price up so all should go well. |
| ISSI |
Integrated Silicon Solutions Inc. |
Buy: Bought 2/1/10 at $5.91 |
| REASONING: Following our North of the Blue Basic Rule we should have bought this stock on 1/29. I decided to wait to make sure that the Upward Price and High Price Strength lines held their climb and went through the 85% line. Both choices, buy on the 29 or 1st were equally appropriate. Waiting until 2/1 showed more caution. |
| ISBC |
Investors Bancorp Inc. |
Buy: Did not buy |
| REASONING: We were too late on this one. We should have bought on 1/26 when the priced crossed the BMA We could have made a modest gain. As it is now, the price does not look like it will hold. |
| COHR |
Coherent, Inc. |
Buy: 2/1/10 at $29.66 |
| REASONING: Used Basic Rule. Stock crossed the BMA on 1/29/10. We could have bought at that point. However, I waited until the Upward Price and High Price Strength lines joined, left the stochastic Red Zone and climbed through the 85% line. This could have been bought on !/30 but I decided to wait and see if the Upward and High Price Strength lines would settle above 85%. |
| COFI |
Camco Financial CP |
Buy: 1/29/10 at $2.62 |
| REASONING: Used Basic Rule. Stock crossed the BMA on 1/29/10. Both the Upward Price and High Price Strength lines joined as the climbed from the 15% stochastic line and shot directly through the 85% line. But, these lines wavered after crossing the 85% line. Also I waited until the price climbed through the Resistance lines. There was a very heavy one it had to pass through before I felt it could hold its gains. |
| BBNK |
Bridge Capital Holdings |
1/29/10 at $6.79 |
| REASONING: Used Basic Rule. Stock crossed the BMA on 1/29/10. Both the Upward Price and High Price Strength lines joined as the climbed from the 50% stochastic area and went through the 85% line on 1/29. I waited until later in the day to make sure the stock climbed through the strong Resistance Lines. Note the solid buy volume on the two preceding days. |
| ATV |
Acorn International,Inc. |
Buy: 1/29/10 at $6.15 |
| REASONING: Used Basic Rule. Stock crossed the BMA on 1/29/10. Both the Upward Price and High Price Strength lines joined as the climbed from the 50% stochastic line and shot directly through the 85% line. |
| GILD |
Gilead Sciences Inc |
Buy: 1/29/10 at $47.75 |
| REASONING: Used Basic Rule. Stock crossed the BMA on 1/26/10. Because we did not see this on 1/26 we were slow in buying. Timing was on our side, however, because the High Price and Upward Price Strength lines did not join an cross the 85% stochastic line until 1/29. Stock could have been bought on 1/26 but the cautious investor would have waited for the Strength lines to cross the 85% marker. Do note that the price climbed through a set of very well defined Resistance Lines on 1/26. In any case, waiting until 1/29 to execute the buy was prudent even if we bought late. | |
Buy-Watch List January 30, 2010
| Symbol |
Stock |
Dates |
| CCPCN |
CapitalCrossing Pref CP PR D |
Buy: Move to Buy Watch |
| REASONING: This stock crossed our BMA on January 29. Unfortunately, it ran into a thicket of Resistance Lines. It looks like the stock has the power to climb through these lines, but we need to wait and see. While the Upward price and High Price Strength have both climbed above 85%, we see that the two lines have separated after leaving the Red Zone. By February 3 or 4 we will know whether there is enough strength to move the price past the resistance lines. If so, this is a buy. Another key factor is volume. There has been significant buying volume (blue lines). Let's see if this continues. |
| LACO |
Lakes Entertainment Inc. |
Buy: Move to Buy Watch |
| REASONING: This stock is poised to climb through our BMA very soon. However, we need to see if the Upward Price and High Price Strength lines cross 85%. It is a good sign that they left the Red Zone tightly locked together. Buying volume has been well above average and should give this stock the punch it needs to go North of the Blue as a winner. |
| NEWP |
Newport CP |
Buy: Move to Buy Watch. |
| REASONING: This stock has shown significant buying volume over the past week or so. Upward Price Strength and High Price Strength have joined forces and are continuing to climb. However, we need to see them pass the 85% marker before this becomes a serious contender. As you can see, the price line is poised to pass through our BMA. |
| INTC |
Intel CP |
Buy: Move to Buy Watch |
| REASONING: Intel is beginning to show serious strength. It broke through our Red Zone with ease and is now beginning to climb toward 50%. We will have to wait until the Strength lines join and the price to work its way through the numerous Resistance Lines between the current price and our BMA. Keep this one on your radar screen. Everything I see and read tells me that silicon chip makers (That's what they make computer chips out of.) are very, very busy. |
| CSCO |
Cisco Systems |
Buy: Move to Buy Watch POSSIBLY BUY STOCHASTIC "W" |
| REASONING: Cisco has been one of the most active stocks on the NASDAQ Exchange over the past ten days. It moved out of the Red Zone while forming a near perfect "W". I say "near perfect". It is a good sign although it could be better. But, the High Price Strength and Upward Price Strength joined an dare now climbing in lockstep. This stock is poised to go North of the Blue with real strength. We are looking at a serious buy in the next day or so. |
| NWSA |
News Corporation CLA |
Buy: Move to Buy Watch POSSIBLY BUY STOCHASTIC "W" |
| REASONING: News Corporation could buck the industry trend by posting real profits. Moreover, we see a solid Stochastic "W" that formed over the past few days. The buy high price average looks like a rocket poised for lunar lift off. It is easy to see this coming out of the Red Jail Bars and climbing north of our BMA. Watch this one closely. |
| ABX - Barrick Gold |
BW: 1/23/10 |
Watch for rebound off of Support Level. |
| GG - Goldcorp Inc New |
BW: 1/23/10 |
Watch for rebound of off Support Level. |
| GLD - SPDR Gold Trust |
1/23/10 |
This has a long way to go but is worth watching. |
| GOLD- Rangold Resources Ltd. |
1/23/10 |
One of the better gold stocks and needs to be watched. |
| VPRT- VistaPrint NV Ord The Netherlands |
1/23/10 |
Watch for rebound off of the Resistance Level. |
| APOL- Apollo Group Inc. CL A |
1/23/10 |
Price touched the BMA. Good rebound. Watch to see if the Upward Price Strength and High Price Strength both point up in the next day or so. |
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Also check "DickPicks" in your "DicksPicks"List in our program and NOTB-BUY-WATCH list. |
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| Current Portfolio Holdings
January 30, 2010 |
| Symbol |
Company |
Dates |
| WRLS |
Tellular CP |
Buy: 2/1/10 at $4.35 |
| REASONING: The stock blew through the BMA at the speed of light. Absolutely no hesitation. However, I decided to wait until the Upward Price Strength and the High Price Strength joined and both rose above the 85% line. They did on 2/1 and with that I bought. As you can see, volume has been very good. |
| OKSB |
Southwest Bancorp Inc. |
Buy: 2/1/10 at 7.35 |
| REASONING: I bought this as scheduled on 2/1/10 as it crossed our Blue Moving Average. Because the Upward Buy and High Price Strength lines came together and did a very solid crossing of the 85% Stochastic line I went ahead with the plan. However, I am hedging this with very tight stops because of the serious Machine Generated Resistance Lines. There is very sold buying volume pushing the price up so all should go well. |
| WASH |
Washington Trust Bancorp |
Buy: Did not buy |
| REASONING: I had scheduled this stock for a buy on 2/1/10. Unfortunately, it could not break through the numerous Resistance Lines just after it crossed the BMA. The ideal buy point would have been on January 22 when it first crossed the BMA. Unfortunately, the stock did not come to my attention until 1/29/10. By that Friday the stock was entangled in the Resistance lines and did not look like it could pass through them. For these reasons I elected not to buy the stock. |
| OKSB |
Southwest Bancorp Inc. |
Buy: 2/1/10 at 7.35 |
| REASONING: I bought this as scheduled on 2/1/10 as it crossed our Blue Moving Average. Because the Upward Buy and High Price Strength lines came together and did a very solid crossing of the 85% Stochastic line I went ahead with the plan. However, I am hedging this with very tight stops because of the serious Machine Generated Resistance Lines. There is very sold buying volume pushing the price up so all should go well. |
| ISSI |
Integrated Silicon Solutions Inc. |
Buy: Bought 2/1/10 at $5.91 |
| REASONING: Following our North of the Blue Basic Rule we should have bought this stock on 1/29. I decided to wait to make sure that the Upward Price and High Price Strength lines held their climb and went through the 85% line. Both choices, buy on the 29 or 1st were equally appropriate. Waiting until 2/1 showed more caution. |
| ISBC |
Investors Bancorp Inc. |
Buy: Did not buy |
| REASONING: We were too late on this one. We should have bought on 1/26 when the priced crossed the BMA We could have made a modest gain. As it is now, the price does not look like it will hold. |
| COHR |
Coherent, Inc. |
Buy: 2/1/10 at $29.66 |
| REASONING: Used Basic Rule. Stock crossed the BMA on 1/29/10. We could have bought at that point. However, I waited until the Upward Price and High Price Strength lines joined, left the stochastic Red Zone and climbed through the 85% line. This could have been bought on !/30 but I decided to wait and see if the Upward and High Price Strength lines would settle above 85%. |
| COFI |
Camco Financial CP |
Buy: 1/29/10 at $2.62 |
| REASONING: Used Basic Rule. Stock crossed the BMA on 1/29/10. Both the Upward Price and High Price Strength lines joined as the climbed from the 15% stochastic line and shot directly through the 85% line. But, these lines wavered after crossing the 85% line. Also I waited until the price climbed through the Resistance lines. There was a very heavy one it had to pass through before I felt it could hold its gains. |
| BBNK |
Bridge Capital Holdings |
1/29/10 at $6.79 |
| REASONING: Used Basic Rule. Stock crossed the BMA on 1/29/10. Both the Upward Price and High Price Strength lines joined as the climbed from the 50% stochastic area and went through the 85% line on 1/29. I waited until later in the day to make sure the stock climbed through the strong Resistance Lines. Note the solid buy volume on the two preceding days. |
| ATV |
Acorn International,Inc. |
Buy: 1/29/10 at $6.15 |
| REASONING: Used Basic Rule. Stock crossed the BMA on 1/29/10. Both the Upward Price and High Price Strength lines joined as the climbed from the 50% stochastic line and shot directly through the 85% line. |
| GILD |
Gilead Sciences Inc |
Buy: 1/29/10 at $47.75 |
| REASONING: Used Basic Rule. Stock crossed the BMA on 1/26/10. Because we did not see this on 1/26 we were slow in buying. Timing was on our side, however, because the High Price and Upward Price Strength lines did not join an cross the 85% stochastic line until 1/29. Stock could have been bought on 1/26 but the cautious investor would have waited for the Strength lines to cross the 85% marker. Do note that the price climbed through a set of very well defined Resistance Lines on 1/26. In any case, waiting until 1/29 to execute the buy was prudent even if we bought late. |
| PL- Protective Life Corp. |
Buy 1/22/10 at $17.99. Current $75.49. Up 44.59%. |
Followed Basic Rule. |
| EDZ - Emerging Markets Bear 3X Shares FD |
Buy: 1/22 at $5.37 |
Basic Rule with Early Buy as stock pulls out of Stochastic Red Zone and rockets upward to 50% |
| SHY - iShares TR Lehman 1 - 3 Year Treasury Bonds |
Buy: 1/22/10 at $83.52 |
Basic Rule with Early Buy. Stock moved rapidly out of Stochastic Red Zone then jumped very quickly past 50%. Not surprising since bonds are a traditional hedge in troubled times such as we have now. Here you get the equity gain as well as the interest (Note: interest is paid if you hold the bond for at least one quarter.) |
| TLT - iShares TR Lehman 20+ Year Treasury Bonds |
Buy: 1/22/10 at $91.86 |
Basic Rule with Early Buy. Stock moved rapidly out of Stochastic Red Zone then jumped very quickly tot 50%. Not surprising since bonds are a traditional hedge in troubled times such as we have now. Here you get the equity gain as well as the interest But watch to see if Strength lines continue to climb. (Note: interest is paid if you hold the bond for at least one quarter.) |
| IEF - iShares TR; Lehman 7 - 10 year Treasury Bonds |
Buy: 1/22/10 at $90.46 |
Basic Rule with Early Buy. Stock moved rapidly out of Stochastic Red Zone then jumped very quickly tot 50%. Not surprising since bonds are a traditional hedge in troubled times such as we have now. Here you get the equity gain as well as the interest But watch to see if Strength lines continue to climb. Upward Price Strength is lagging. (Note: interest is paid if you hold the bond for at least one quarter.) |
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Gains & Losses: Current Cash in the Bank Portfolio
... Where the real profit is
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Since 1/4/10
North of the Blue's Average Gain: plus 9.03%
Dow Jones down -3.8%
S&P down -3.6%
NASDQ down - 4.5%.
2 losses and 11 gains for North of the Blue
Cash in the Bank "Portfolio"
January 30, 2010
| PL |
Protective Life Corp |
Buy: 1/22/10 at $17.92; sell 1/29/10 at 17.50. Loss 2.72%. |
| REASONING:Late buy after stock price crossed our BMA. We may have to sell this quickly because High Price Strength and Upward Price Strength lines are falling toward 85%. Set stops very close. (Basic Rule buy. |
| VIP OPEN JT STK Co Vimpel Communications |
Buy: 1/4/10 at $18.86; sell 1/12/10 at $20.25; gain 7.37% |
Trend line went flat; High and Upward Price fell below 85%; stock went below the Blue Moving Average (BMA). (Basic Rule with Early Sell.) |
| LL Lumber Liquidators Holdings |
Buy: 1/6/10 at $26.11; .sell 1/12 at $27.90; gain 6.86%; 1 week |
Price fell below BMA; High and Upward Price Strength fell below 85%; time to sell. (Basic Rule) |
| CISG -Cinnsure Ads |
Buy: 1/6/10 at $19.99; sell 1/12 at $18.60;loss 6.95%; 1 week. |
Price fell below BMA; High Price and Upward Price fell below 85%. Sell. (Basic Rule.) |
| ATPG - ATP Oil & Gas CP |
Buy 12/17/09; at $18.00; sell 1/12/10 at $18.50; gain 2.78%; 3 weeks. |
Bought when crossed BMA going up; sold when price fell below BMA, High Price and upward Price fell below 85%. (Basic Rule with Early Sell.) |
| HAL - Halliburton |
Buy 12/31/09; at $30.31; sell 1/12/10 at $33.22; gain 9.60%; 12 days. |
Bought when crossed BMA going up; sold when High Price and upward Price fell below 85%. (Basic Rule with Early Sell) |
| OXY - Occidental Petroleum |
Buy 12/17/09; at $80.50; sell 1/12/10 at $82.00; gain 1.86%; 3 weeks. |
Bought when crossed BMA going up; sold when price fell below BMA. (Basic Rule.) |
| APA - Apache |
Buy 12/17/09; at $99.70; sell 1/12/10 at $106.00; gain 6.32%; 3 weeks |
Bought when crossed BMA going up; sold when High Price and Upward Price began to roll over and buying volume turned to above average selling volume. (Basic Rule with Early Sell.) |
| BRY - Berry Petroleum |
Buy 12/18/09; at $29.55; sell 1/12/10 at $28.50; loss 3.55% |
Bought when crossed BMA going up; sold when price fell below BMA, unfortunately, BMA did not climb. Should have watched closer. |
| EEE - Evergreen Energy Inc. |
Buy 12/18/09; at $0.33; sell 1/12/10 at $0.54; gain 63.63% |
Bought when High Price and Upward Price Strength left the red oversold Stochastic Red Zone going up. sold when Upward Price and High Price fell below 85%. (Basic Rule with Early Buy and Early Sell.) |
| KWK - Quicksilver Resources |
Buy 12/17/09; at $14.62; sell 1/12/10 at $15.44; gain 5.60% |
Bought when crossed BMA going up; sold when Upward Price and High Price fell below 85%. (Basic Rule with Early Sell.) |
| OIS -Oil STS International |
Buy 12/18/09; at $38.00; sell 1/12/10 at $41.62; gain 9.53% |
Bought when crossed BMA going up; sold when price fell below BMA, sold when Upward Price and High Price Strength fell below 85%. |
| IYT - iShares Dow Jones Transportation |
Buy 11/5/09; at $66.68; sell 1/12/10 at $76.25; gain 14.35%. |
Bought when High Price and Upward Price Strength left Stochastic Red Zone and crossed 50% line going up. Soled when High Price and Upward Price Strength fell below 85%. (Basic Rule with Early Buy and Early Sell.) | | |
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Sincerely,
Richard Brenneke
North of the Blue Stock Analysis System |
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