Monday Report
July 14th, 2008


Bonneville Research Website

ECONOMIC NOTES:

THIS WEEKS LEADS:


 

SCORECARD

US Retailers - Who is up? Who is down?

RetailerMay 2008 SalesYear to Date Sales% Change 2008/2007
The Buckle $61.9 M $273.1 M 28.0%
BJ's$1,053 M$4,136.980 M12.0%
The Children's Place$123.0 M$632.6 M8.0%
Costco $7.14 B$59.84 B8.0%
Ross Stores$628 M$2.698 B5.0%
Saks Inc. $243.8 M$1,325.6 M4.0%
TJX Cos. $1.8 B$7.7 B4.0%
Fred's$173.8 M$781.5 M3.2%
Wal-Mart$25.248 B$104.475 B3.2%
Family Dollar$715.0 M$5,932.9 M0.7%
Cato$88.3 M$394.6 MFLAT%
Pacific Sunwear$127.2 M$480.5 MFLAT%
Target Corporation$5.842 B$24.707 B-0.5%
Stage Stores Inc. $142.0 M$618.1 M-2.9%
Kohl's$1,492.5 M$6,322.6 M-4.8%
JC Penney$1,602 M$7,073 M-5.7%
Bon Ton$261.2 M$1,175.8 M-6.0
Dillard's Dept. Stores$593.285 M$2,773.160 M-6.0%
American Eagle Outfitters$255.9 M$1.096 B-8.0%
The Limited$1.022 B$3.608 B-8.0%
West Marine$339.9 M-8.4%
Stein Mart $122.6 M$583.1 M-9.6%
Gottschalks $51.9 M$219.5 M-10.1%
The Gap $1.41 B$5.88 B-11.0%
Chico's FAS $151.4 M$702.3 M-16.4%

Source: PR Newswire's Retail Review & Comparison, July 2008

Grants:

  • Get Families on Their Financial Feet!
    • Assets for Independence Demonstration Program
    • POSTED: 6/27/2008
    • FUNDING SOURCE: ACF
    • ELIGIBILITY: Nonprofit and public agencies, including local governments
    • $ AVAILABLE: $19,000,000
    • GRANTS AVAILABLE: 65
    • MAX GRANT SIZE: $1,000,000
    • DEADLINE: 1/15/09 and 3/25/09
    • CONTACT INFORMATION: http://www.acf.hhs.gov/grants/open/HHS-2008-ACF- OCS-EI-0053.html
    • DESCRIPTION: Grants to help low-income individuals and families achieve economic self- sufficiency by gaining access to the financial system.

  • HOPE VI Grants for Smaller Communities!
    • HOPE VI Main Street Grants
    • POSTED: 6/26/2008
    • FUNDING SOURCE: HUD
    • ELIGIBILITY: Local governments/PHAs
    • $ AVAILABLE: $4,000,000
    • GRANTS AVAILABLE: 4
    • MAX GRANT SIZE: $1,000,000
    • DEADLINE: 8/15/08
    • CONTACT INFORMATION: http://edocket.access.gpo.gov/2008/E8-14445.htm
    • DESCRIPTION: Grants to revitalize, repair and/or rehabilitate public housing developments to provide an enhanced living environment for residents in selected smaller communities.

  • Engage Audiences with Culture!
    • America's Historical and Cultural Organizations: Planning and Implementation Grants
    • POSTED: 6/30/2008
    • FUNDING SOURCE: NEH
    • ELIGIBILITY: Nonprofits, LEAs, IHEs, Indian Tribes and public agencies
    • $ AVAILABLE: N.A.
    • GRANTS AVAILABLE: N.A.
    • MAX GRANT SIZE: $400,000
    • DEADLINE: 8/27/08
    • CONTACT INFORMATION: http://www.neh.gov/grants/guidelines/AHCO_Impleme ntationGuidelines.html
    • DESCRIPTION: Grants to plan or implement traveling or long-term museum exhibitions, library- based projects, interpretation of historic places or areas, interpretive Web sites, or other project formats that creatively engage audiences in exploring humanities ideas and questions.

  • Improve Youth-serving Organizations!
    • Youth-serving Organization Capacity Building
    • POSTED: 6/26/2008
    • FUNDING SOURCE: Corporation for National and Community Service
    • ELIGIBILITY: National nonprofits
    • $ AVAILABLE: $3,500,000
    • GRANTS AVAILABLE: N.A.
    • MAX GRANT SIZE: N.A.
    • DEADLINE: 7/29/08
    • CONTACT INFORMATION:
    • http://www07.grants.gov/search/search.do;jsessio nid=Ljgf9m3dCs6wN67bhpw1nh7hNxH3bhhkhngCp5 XvWFqpyyh1yhGj!1407227441? oppId=42134&flag2006=false&mode=VIEW
    • DESCRIPTION: Funds for national nonprofit organizations that support youth development through planning, collaboration, and alliance building for youthserving organizations at the local and regional level.

  • Big Grants for 21st CCLC Grantees!
    • High-Quality Supplemental Educational Services and After-School Partnerships Demonstration
    • POSTED: 7/7/2008
    • FUNDING SOURCE: Dept. of Education
    • ELIGIBILITY: 21st Century Learning Center Providers together with supplemental educational service providers
    • $ AVAILABLE: $5,000,000
    • GRANTS AVAILABLE: 6
    • MAX GRANT SIZE: $1,300,000
    • DEADLINE: 8/12/08
    • CONTACT INFORMATION: http://edocket.access.gpo.gov/2008/E8-15363.htm
    • DESCRIPTION: Grants to fund projects that will serve as national models of how these two federally authorized after-school initiatives can be coordinated so that a greater number of students enroll in, participate in, and complete academic after-school services that improve their achievement in reading and mathematics.

  • Native American Mentoring Grants!
    • Mentoring Programs for At-Risk Tribal Youth
    • POSTED: 7/3/2008
    • FUNDING SOURCE: DOJ
    • ELIGIBILITY: Indian Tribes
    • $ AVAILABLE: N.A.
    • GRANTS AVAILABLE: N.A.
    • MAX GRANT SIZE: $2,000,000
    • DEADLINE: 8/4/08
    • CONTACT INFORMATION: http://ojjdp.ncjrs.gov/grants/solicitations/FY2008/Tribal Mentoring.pdf
    • DESCRIPTION: Funds for a wide array of mentoring services to improve educational and life outcomes for tribal youth.

  • Improve Free Tax Help!
    • Volunteer Income Tax Assistance Program
    • POSTED: 6/30/2008
    • FUNDING SOURCE: IRS
    • ELIGIBILITY: Nonprofit and public agencies
    • $ AVAILABLE: N.A.
    • GRANTS AVAILABLE: N.A.
    • MAX GRANT SIZE: N.A.
    • DEADLINE: 9/2/08
    • CONTACT INFORMATION: http://www07.grants.gov/search/search.do? &mode=VIEW&flag2006=false&oppId=42181
    • DESCRIPTION: Matching grants to enable the Volunteer Income Tax Assistance (VITA) program to extend services to underserved populations in hardest-to-reach areas.

  • Prevent Juvenile Delinquency Among Native American Youth!
    • Tribal Youth Program
    • POSTED: 7/3/2008
    • FUNDING SOURCE: OJJDP
    • ELIGIBILITY: Tribal Governments
    • $ AVAILABLE: N.A.
    • GRANTS AVAILABLE: N.A.
    • MAX GRANT SIZE: $500,000
    • DEADLINE: 8/4/08
    • CONTACT INFORMATION: http://ojjdp.ncjrs.gov/grants/solicitations/FY2008/TYP.p df
    • DESCRIPTION: Grants to plan and/or implement programs that enhance tribal efforts to prevent and control delinquency and improve the juvenile justice system for American Indian/Alaska Native (AI/AN) youth.

Greetings!

Major US Retailers

  • Who is up?
  • Who is down?
  • Who is just holding their own?

    Bob Springmeyer

    Bonneville Research


  • Bonneville Research Website
  • Check out our Bonneville Research Website!

    www.BonnevilleResearch.com

    Bonneville Research
  • ECONOMIC NOTES:
    • Global Business Confidence
    • According to the global business confidence survey, developed economies including the U.S., Europe and Japan are contracting moderately, while most developing economies are expanding moderately. On net, the global economy is growing, albeit barely. This is an improvement since late April, however, when global business confidence fell to a record low. The most measurable improvement has been among real estate operations, financial services companies, and business service firms. These firms are still dour, but not nearly so. As has been the case for the past year, the most negative responses are to the broad questions concerning present conditions and the outlook. Pricing pressures spurted higher again last week and are approaching a new record high.
    • Treasury Budget
    • The unified budget surplus for June was $51 billion, on par with the CBO's preliminary estimate. The federal government has run a deficit of $269 billion through the first nine months of fiscal 2008; this is 122% larger than the deficit at the same point in fiscal 2007. After a few years of improvement the federal budget deficit is again widening due to the poor economy, strong spending growth, and the economic stimulus package.
    • Import and Export Prices
    • For the second consecutive month, the import price index rose 2.6%. May's gain was revised higher to 2.6% (previously 2.3%). Import price gains were led by petroleum prices, which rose 7.4%. Nonpetroleum imports rose 0.9% compared with May's 0.7%. Export prices were up 1% following a 0.4% increase in May. The increase in import prices was larger than expected by forecasters and will keep the Federal Reserve on the sidelines through the summer.
    • International Trade (FT900)
    • The nominal U.S. trade deficit in goods and services surprisingly narrowed by 1.2% in May. The U.S. trade deficit came in at $59.8 billion, $0.7 billion less than April's revised $60.5 billion, according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis. In May, both exports and imports increased to record highs, though exports increased slightly more than imports. The trade deficit with China, however, increased to $21 billion, after recording its lowest point in two years in March. Crude oil prices increased in May by $9.47 a barrel, the largest one-month increase in history, which in turn increased the nation's total import bill for oil and petroleum products to $40.4 billion despite a lower volume.
    • US Consumer Confidence
    • According to the ABC News/Washington Post consumer comfort index, sentiment rose 2 points to - 41 in the week ending July 6. The index has increased 10 points from its record low and is at its highest since April. The modest gain in sentiment is being driven by the stimulus checks, which are putting much- needed cash in the pockets of consumers. The recent improvement is encouraging, but this level of pessimism points toward a gradual recovery in the economy.
    • Jobless Claims
    • Surprisingly, initial jobless claims fell by 58,000 to 346,000. This was the largest one-week drop since 2005, and invites some skepticism about its validity. Expect this improvement to be reversed in coming weeks, as other indicators clearly show that the labor market is still fragile.
    • Consumer Credit (G19)
    • Consumer credit totaled $2.571 trillion in May, an increase of $7.8 billion. Rapid growth of revolving credit accounted for most of this month's increase, while nonrevolving lines of credit increased more slowly.
    • Pending Home Sales
    • The pending home sales index declined in May by 4.7% to 84.7, a retreat from April's upwardly revised reading of 88.9. The decline took back over half of April's surge. The index is about 14% below its year- ago level, evidence that demand for existing homes has yet to show real signs of improving.
    • MBA Mortgage Applications Survey
    • Demand in mortgage markets rallied for a second straight week in the week ending July 4. The market composite index increased by 7.5% in the last week, while the purchase and refinance indices increased by 6.7% and 8.7%, respectively. For the first time in a while, the increase in applications may have pushed interest rates up instead of higher interest rates reducing demand.
    • Chain Store Sales
    • Chain store sales rose 4.3% in June, well ahead of expectations, thanks to spending of tax rebates. Rising gasoline prices also played a role in the strength, lifting sales at warehouse clubs as did favorable weather. Discounters performed particularly well as financially pressed consumers focused on necessities and lower priced goods.
    • Natural Gas Storage Report
    • Working gas in underground storage rose by 90 billion cubic feet during the week ending July 4, below consensus expectations of a 95 bcf rise in inventories. At 2,208 bcf, working gas in underground storage was 389 bcf lower than a year ago and 70 bcf below the five-year average for this time of year.
    • Oil and Gas Inventories
    • Crude oil inventories fell by 5.9 million barrels for the week ending July 4, according to the Energy Information Administration, far exceeding expectations of a 1.8 million barrel decline. Gasoline inventories rose by 0.9 million barrels, contradicting consensus expectations of a 0.2 million barrel decline. Distillate supplies rose by 1.8 million barrels, in line with expectations. Refinery operating capacity was unchanged at 89.2%. This report should send oil prices higher.

    Source: Economy.com 2008


  • THIS WEEKS LEADS:
    • O'Reilly Auto Parts
    • O'Reilly Auto Parts operates 1,800 locations throughout the Midstates, Southern and Western regions of the U.S.
    • The automotive parts retailers occupy spaces of 6,800 sq.ft. to 8,000 sq.ft. in freestanding locations.
    • Growth opportunities are sought throughout the existing markets during the coming 18 months.
    • A land area of one acre is required.
    • For more information, contact
      • Curt Allen,
      • O'Reilly Auto Parts,
      • PO Box 1156,
      • Springfield, MO 65801-1156;
      • Web site: www.oreillyauto.com
    • Ziebart
    • Ziebart International Corp. trades as Ziebart at 400 locations nationwide and internationally.
    • The shops, offering automotive detailing and accessories, occupy spaces of 2,500 sq.ft. to 4,000 sq.ft. in freestanding locations.
    • Growth opportunities are sought throughout the existing markets during the coming 18 months.
    • Specific improvements are required.
    • For more information, contact
      • Mike Pino,
      • Ziebart International Corp.,
      • 1290 East Maple Road,
      • Troy, MI 48007-1290;
      • Web site: www.ziebart.com
    • Phoenix Theatres
    • Phoenix Theatres operates 16 locations throughout CA, FL, KS, KY, MD, MI, NJ, NY, TN, VA and Washington, DC.
    • The movie theaters occupy spaces of 35,000 sq.ft. to 60,000 sq.ft. in freestanding locations, malls and entertainment, lifestyle and power centers.
    • Growth opportunities are sought nationwide during the coming 18 months, with representation by NAI Daus.
    • Typical leases run 15 years. F
    • or more information, contact
      • Jim Samuels,
      • Phoenix Theatres,
      • 3401 Enterprise Parkway, Suite 105,
      • Cleveland, OH 44122;
      • Web site: www.phoenixtheatres.com

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    Note from Bob Springmeyer:

    As some of you may know I am the Democratic Candidate for Utah Governor.

    I chose community activist and retired SBA official Josie Valdez to run as my lieutenant governor.

    We now have a staff, lawn signs, bumper stickers available.

    It is my hope that I can continue to send out the Monday Report weekly without interruption.

    The Monday Report has always reflected my business and economic development values.

    I don't intend that the Monday Report will become a campaign tool, but if you are interested in my campaign and want to be supportive, please click on the link below.

    Thanks,

    Bob Springmeyer

    The good education, good jobs, good health and good government candidate for Utah Governor

    Election Date: November 4th, 2008

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    November 4th, 2008
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