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Scorecard
Direct Taxable Retail Sales– July
2006
- State-wide July increases were 11.3%
- The top gainers include:
- $50M +
Cities:
- Uninc. SL Co+20.1%
- West Valley
City +17.4%
- Orem +14.1%
- West Jordan +10.6%
- $20 - $50M Cities:
- South
Jordan+81.4%
- Vernal +24.8%
- Lehi +24.6%
- Lindon +22.9%
- The “bottom losers” include:
- Riverdale -
0.7%
- Bountiful -4.7%
Sales by Major City – FY 2006
| 2006 Rank (05)
| City | Sales July 2006 (000)
| July 05-06 % Change |
| 1 | Salt Lake
City | $369,392 | +0.8%
|
| 2 (3) | West
Valley | $154,131 | 17.4%
|
| 3 (2)
| Sandy | $150,816 | 0.6
% |
| 4 | Orem | $149,781 | 14.1% |
| 5 | Murray
| $133,303 | 1.9% |
| 6 | St George
| $130,245 | 4.4% |
| 7 | South Salt Lake
| $117,806 | 4.4% |
| 8(9) | Ogden
| $97,717 | 8.4% |
| 9 | West
Jordan | $97,695 | 10.6%
|
| 10(8)
| Layton | $92,434 | 1.9
% |
| 11 | Provo | $85,169 | 2.7% |
| 12(13)
| Logan | $54,310 | 4.6%
|
| 13(12)
| Riverdale | $52,411 | -
0.7% |
| 14 | American
Fork | $49,700 | 8.0% |
| 15 | Midvale | $47,980
TD> | 13.2% |
| 16 | Cedar City
| $44,305 | 9.9% |
| 17 | Draper
| $42,166 | 20.2% |
| 18(24) | South Jordan
| $38,003 | 81.4% |
| 19(20) | Vernal
| $36,781 | 24.8% |
| 20(21) |
Lindon | $35,513 | 5.9%
|
| 21(18) |
Taylorsville | $35,513 | 5.9%
|
| 22(19)
| Bountiful | $29,998 | -
4.7% |
| 23(22) | Park City
| $28,277 | 13.2% |
| 24(23) | Tooele
| $25,809 | |
| 25 | Springville | $22,072
| 12.1% |
Utah State Tax Commission, 10/06
Who Carries the Freight -
2004
Freight transportation plays a role in economic
development and transportation quality and
availability is critical to economic development
policies and strategies.
- Truck 69.1%
- Rail 13.6%
- Rail/Intermodal 1.3%
- Pipeline 8.7%
- Water 7.4%
- Air 0.1%
Projected Freight Growth: 2004 -
2016
- Truck +32.5%
- Rail +24.5%
- Rail/Intermodal +77.9%
- Pipeline +22.3%
- Water +25.9%
- Air +74.6%
In Utah, trucks transported 85.5% of total
manufactured tonnage in 2003.
Source: American Trucking Association and
American Transportation Research Institute.
Super-Sized Industrial Facilities Take
Shape
As the volume of imports from Asia continues to
grow, so too do the industrial facilities that house
the goods. Over the past decade, the definition of a
large warehouse has climbed from approximately
300,000 sq. ft. to upwards of 1 million sq. ft. today.
Imports from global manufacturing centers are largely
fueling the demand for these massive industrial
facilities.
Case in point: The Alter Group, a Chicago-based
office and industrial developer last week announced
more than 1 million sq. ft. of speculative industrial
space split between Southern California and
Indianapolis. The ambitious pipeline is a bet that
demand will remain strong for high-volume distribution
space for the foreseeable future.
Logistics providers as well as retailers and others
lease these facilities to process large volumes of
imports. Alter Group’s 590,000 sq. ft. Calabash II,
under development in California’s Inland Empire, will
handle imported goods from the Ports of Los Angeles
and Long Beach. The 440,769 sq. ft. Airwest
Indianapolis, in the Airwest Business Park in Plainfield,
Ind., is within a day’s drive of 65% of the U.S.
population via convenient access to four interstate
highways and the Indianapolis International Airport.
The developer also is eyeing new development
opportunities in Chicago, and would like to add
Atlanta and the East Coast to its big-box industrial
program in 2007, says Patrick Gallagher, senior vice
president at Alter Group. “We’ve got major buildings
going up in about four cities right now, and we look
to expand even more so in those strategic cities that
are tied to national and international logistics
networks,” says Gallagher.
Most large logistics projects are naturally located
near seaports — where companies can unload large
oceanic shipping containers, sort goods and then
transport them via truck or rail to stores or regional
distribution centers —and at major crossroads of
highways, rail lines and airports, including
Indianapolis.
Large-scale logistics space was rare a decade
ago. But it may soon garner its own subcategory
among commercial real estate product types,
believes Bob Bach, national director of market
research at Oak Brook, Ill.-based Grubb &
Ellis: “There clearly is a subset of the
warehouse/distribution category that I would call
modern logistics space.”
Researchers are still setting parameters, but the
new product type will be defined by its large size,
ceiling heights of 32 ft. or higher, state-of-the-art
fire suppression systems, a high ratio of dock-height
doors to floor area, and other factors. Quick
turnaround time also differentiates these facilities
from their predecessors: Large truck courts enable
truck drivers to park a full trailer, pick up an empty
one and quickly get back on the road.
The vacancy rate for warehouse/distribution
space was 8.2% at midyear, slightly higher than the
7.9% vacancy rate for all industrial properties. Bach
attributes that slightly elevated vacancy rate to a
high construction rate, and says demand continues
to keep a heavy supply of new space from spinning
out of control.
“In the Inland Empire, in particular, demand is
torrid and vacancy is 3.8%,” Bach says. “That’s
incredibly low, considering it has by far the most
space under construction at 22 million sq. ft.”
Warehouse/distribution properties represent less
than half, or 5.1 billion sq. ft., of the 10.5 billion sq.
ft. of industrial real estate in North America,
according to Grubb & Ellis. Yet warehouse/distribution
space accounts for a full 70%, or 80 million sq. ft., of
the total 115 million sq. ft. of industrial space under
construction nationwide in October.
Source: NREI Newsline
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Greetings!
July 2006 Major City Retail Sales Ranking
Transportation - Who's important for Economic
Development?
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| Economic Snapshot |
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Economic Snapshot – Three Months FY2006-2007
- Sales and Use Taxes +6.5%
- Corporate Franchise Taxes +42.7%
- Individual Income Taxes +14.4%
- Individual Income Taxes: Withholding
+14.4%
- Severance Taxes +34.5%
- Mineral Taxes: Withholding +29.7%
- Uniform School Total +7.6%
- Motor Fuel Taxes -5.1%
Source: Utah State Tax Commission, 10/20/06
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| Economic Notes: |
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- Slower US Growth
- US economic growth slowed to an annualized
rate of just 1.6 per cent in the third quarter of 2006,
figures revealed, as a brutal correction in housing
construction and an oil-fuelled rise in imports dragged
down economic activity.
- Factory Orders (M3)
- New orders for manufactured goods rose
2.1% in September following a downwardly revised
0.3% drop in August. Durable goods orders, which
had risen 7.8% in the advance release, were revised
higher to show an 8.3% increase. Nondurable orders
fell an outsized 4.6% during the month.
- Senior Loan Officer Opinion Survey
-
The October Senior Loan Officer Opinion Survey
shows weaker demand for real estate and consumer
loans over the past three months, while demand for
commercial and industrial loans was little changed.
The changes in lending standards were mixed across
segments, while credit terms were generally
better.
- Productivity and Costs
- Nonfarm business productivity growth came in
well below expectations, with no increase, 0.0%
(SAAR), in the third quarter. There has been a rapid
slowing in productivity growth in recent quarters.
Unit labor costs grew an annualized 3.8% in the third
quarter, slightly above consensus. Inflationary
pressures from the labor market remain a
concern.
- Personal Income
- Personal income rose 0.5% in September,
above expectations and up from a 0.4% increase in
August. Spending rose 0.1%, below expectations,
and down from August’s 0.2% gain. The core PCE
deflator rose 0.2%, while the top line deflator fell
0.3% due to tumbling energy prices. The saving rate
rose to -0.2%.
- Chain Store Sales
- Chain store sales grew 3.0% in October,
down from 4.0% in September, according to the ICSC
chain store index. Results were in line with
expectations, although they were mixed across
retailers with a majority lagging forecasts. Falling
gasoline prices, weakening housing markets and
difficult comparisons were significant drivers of
growth.
- Agricultural Prices
- The All-Farm Products Index of Prices
Received by Farmers fell 1.7% in October from
September. The crop index fell 4.9%, while the
livestock was unchanged. In addition to price
movements, the index is also affected by seasonal
factors based on the mix of commodities sold.
Farmers received lower prices for lettuce, broilers,
cattle and tomatoes. Higher prices were posted for
corn, wheat, turkeys and milk. The Index of Prices
Paid by Farmers was unchanged from September, but
1.4% above the level of a year ago. Farmers paid
higher prices for feed grains, nitrogen fertilizers,
herbicides and feed concentrates and lower prices
for diesel fuel, feeder cattle, gasoline and LP
gas.
- MBA Mortgage Applications Survey
- Mortgage demand decreased 3.0% in the
week ending October 27. Purchase applications
decreased 1.8% and refinance applications
decreased 4.5%.
- Oil and Gas Inventories
- Crude oil inventories rose 2 million barrels for
the week ending October 27, according to the
Energy Information Administration, slightly below
expectations of a 2.7 million barrel build. Distillate
inventories fell by 2.7 million barrels, while gasoline
stocks fell 2.8 million barrels, both in line with
expectations. Refinery activity accelerated some last
week. This report will be shrugged off by the
market.
- Natural Gas Storage
- Underground storage of natural gas
decreased by 9 billion cubic feet during the week
ending October 27. This was slightly less than the
expected draw of 11 Bcf from storage. Inventories
are now 8.7% above the five-year average. This
report is likely to moderate pressure on prices.
- Vehicle Sales
- Vehicle sales fell again in October on a
seasonally adjusted annualized basis, sinking to 16.1
million units from 16.6 million in September. The
October number also falls below the average for the
year thus far of 16.6 million units. Both car and truck
sales fell but cars took a great hit as rapidly declining
gas prices have again shifted consumers away from
cars.
- Construction Spending (C30)
- Construction spending decreased 0.3% in
September. Private construction decreased 0.7%,
entirely due to weakening residential construction. In
addition, public construction increased 0.9%.
- Semiconductor Billings
- Global semiconductor sales achieved a new
high in September, recording an increase of 9.3% and
an increase of 4.2% from September last year and
August this year, respectively. A total of $21.4 billion
worth of sales were recorded in September compared
to $20.5 billion in August, according to the
Semiconductor Industry Association. With the holiday
season at the door, the near-term outlook for
semiconductor sales is firm.
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| This Weeks Leads: |
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- Ten Spot / Madrag
- Ten Spot / Madrag operates 29 locations
throughout CT, MA, NJ, NY, PA and RI.
- The
stores, selling discount women’s plus size and juniors
apparel, occupy spaces of 4,000 sq.ft. to 6,000
sq.ft. in power and strip centers and
urban/downtown areas.
- Plans call for five
openings throughout the existing markets during the
coming 18 months.
- Typical leases run 10 years
with options.
- A vanilla shell and specific
improvements are required.
- Preferred cotenants
include Wal*Mart.
- Preferred demographics
include a population of 100,000 within three miles
earning $35,000 to $50,000 as the average
household income.
- For more information, contact
- Nathan
Hoffman,
- Ten Spot / Madrag,
- 30 Seaview
Drive,
- Secaucus, NJ 07094;
- 201-319-1400 Ext
118,
- Fax 201-319-0111;
- Email:
Nathan@10spotplus.com;
- Website:
www.10spotplus.com.
- Cache and Cache Luxe
- Cache trades as Cache and Cache Luxe at 295
locations nationwide.
- The stores, offering upscale women’s apparel and
accessories, occupy spaces of 2,000 sq.ft. in
upscale lifestyle centers and malls.
- Plans call for 30 openings nationwide during the
coming 18 months. Typical leases run 10 years.
- Preferred cotenants include Nordstrom and Saks.
- For more information, contact:
- Dawn Balopole
- Cache
- 1440 Broadway, 5th Floor
- New York, NY 10018
- 614-939-5177
- Fax 614-939-5189
- Website: www.cache.com
- Vans
- Vans, Inc. trades as Vans. The 150-unit chain
operates locations nationwide.
- The stores, selling accessories, apparel and
footwear, occupy spaces of 3,000 sq.ft. in malls and
power centers.
- Growth opportunities are sought throughout CA,
FL and TX during the coming 18 months.
- Typical leases run five to 10 years. Preferred
cotenants include American Eagle, Hollister,
- Journeys and Pacific Sunwear.
- For details, contact:
- Joel Patterson
- Vans, Inc.
- 15700 Shoemaker Avenue
- Santa Fe Springs, CA 90670
- 562-565-8267
- Email: joel_patterson@vfc.com
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| BONNEVILLE RESEARCH |
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"Problem-solving" is not planning, and
"Planning" is not the same as "problem-
solving"
Effective planning can not be done without
addressing the problems that are critical.
Not all problems deserve attention. Some just
go away.
BONNEVILLE RESEARCH
Bonneville Research is a Utah-based consulting
firm providing economic, financial, market and policy
research to public and private sector clients
throughout the intermountain west.
Our services include:
- Financial Analysis
- Urban Renewal & Redevelopment
Analysis and Budgets
- Strategy and Policy Analysis
- Economic and Fiscal Impact Analysis
- Statistical and Survey Research
Each of our studies is tailored to address the
unique needs of our clients and their communities.
“Just like successful businesses, local
governments must build on their strengths, correct
their weaknesses and protect against internal
vulnerabilities and external threats.”
Bob Springmeyer
Bonneville Research
If we can help, please call or email us at
- Bob
- 801-364-5300
- BobSpring@BonnevilleResearch.com
- Jon
- 801-746-5706 - Note Change!
-
JonSpring@BonnevilleResearch.com
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